Ethylene glycol

26 June 2000 00:00  [Source: ICB]

The short-term global outlook for EG is bleak, with the market not expected to strengthen until 2002-03

Uses



Ethylene glycol's (EG) principle applications are as an intermediate in the production of polyesters and as an automotive antifreeze. Around 55% of the world's EG production is used in polyester fibres, 16% in PET resin, 15% in antifreeze, 6% in other applications and 3% in other polyesters.

Supply & demand



Around 12.3m tonne of ethylene glycol is expected to be produced globally this year even though the world has capacity to produce 14.5m tonne/year, according to UK consultancy Tecnon UK. New plants were commissioned in 1999 in Taiwan and India. This year Sabic commissioned its 410 000 tonne/year EG plant at the Yanpet II site in May. However, the new capacity has still to have an impact on world supply, as the existing EG unit at the site has been taken off-line until the cracker at the site is commissioned in June. Although there is the potential to expand existing European capacity through debottleneckings, no major projects have been announced. World EG demand is expected to continue to grow at a rate of 5%/year to around 2007.

Technology



The only commercial route to EG is by the hydrolysis of ethylene oxide (EO). The early manufacture of EO via ethylene chlorohydrin has been superseded by the direct oxidation of ethylene in the presence of oxygen or air and a silver oxide catalyst. A crude EG mixture is then produced by reacting the EO with water under pressure. Fractional distillation under vacuum is used to separate the monoethylene glycol from the higher glycols. Researchers have looked at other processes such as the reaction of ethylene and carbon dioxide to ethylene carbonate followed by hydrolysis, and the direct oxidation of ethylene to glycol acetate anhydride which can be hydrolysed to EG and acetic acid.

Health & safety



Liquid EG may cause slight irritation to eyes but has no major effect on the skin. Vapours may cause irritation to the eyes, nose and throat. Glycols are poisonous if ingested. EG is a stable, non-corrosive liquid which, while combustible, is not flammable.

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Prices



West European quarter two contract prices in Europe were agreed at E700/tonne, up from E580/tonne the previous quarter. Producers are targeting rollover prices or a slight increase for quarter three based on the first ethylene quarter three contract which was also settled at a rollover. On the spot market prices as low as DM1150-1160/tonne have been seen for T2 Russian material, well below the current contract level.

In Asia prices have come under pressure in recent months. July contract nominations have been made at $580/tonne CFR which compares to prices of $650/tonne CFR for May and $630/tonne CFR for June. Players blame the slump in Asian prices on overcapacity in downstream polyester markets. Asian spot prices are even weaker at around $530/tonne CFR China. The situation is likely to worsen once more new capacity is commissioned in Saudi Arabia, Asia and Canada.



Company Location Capacity


BASF Antwerp, Belgium 270


Ludwigshafen, Germany 15


BP Amoco Lavéra, France 10


Clariant Gendorf, Germany 100


Condea Marl, Germany 10


Dow Chemical Terneuzen, 145


the Netherlands


EniChem Gela, Italy* 55


Priolo, Italy 5


Erdölchemie Cologne, Germany 150


Ineos Antwerp, Belgium 240


IQA Tarragona, Spain 85


Petkim Aliaga, Turkey 89


Shell Moerdijk, 130


the Netherlands


Union Carbide Wilton, UK 200


Arpechim Pitesti, Romania 30


Neftezhim** Dzerzhinsk, Russia 130


Kazanorgsyntez Kazan, Russia 35


Naftam Novopolotsk, Belarus 20


Neftochim Burgas, Bulgaria 96


Nizhnekamskneftekhim Nizhnekamsk, Russia 76


Petrobrazi Brazi, Romania 80


Petrochemia Plock Plock, Poland 95


Petrokam Nizhnekamsk, Russia 60


Salavatnefteorgsyntez Salavat, Russia 25


Slovnaft Bratislava, Slovakia 42




*on standby


**formerly Kaprolactam


Source: Tecnon UK/ECN


Outlook



The short-term global outlook for EG is bleak, with three new units scheduled to come onstream in the second half of this year. Shell is scheduled to commission a new 400 000 tonne/year unit in Scotford, Canada, in July and this will be followed by the commissioning of the 500 000 tonne/year Sharq III plant in Al Jubail, Saudi Arabia, in July-August. Nan Chung's new plant in Taiwan, although complete since February, is not expected onstream until September this year.

With new Saudi material predominantly targeted at Asia, prices here are expected to weaken further. As a result Russian exports to Europe are expected to increase.

Tecnon UK envisages a difficult market for EG players over the next few years. However, by end 2002-03 the market is expected to strengthen. New capacity is planned in Al-Jubail (450 000 tonne/year for Sabic) and Iran (400 000 tonne/year for Maroon Petrochemicals) for 2002-03, to coincide with the upturn.





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