31 October 2005 00:01 [Source: ICB Americas]
DEMAND
2003: 41,917,000 tons; 2004: 44,336,000 tons; 2008: 47,615,000 tons, projected. Demand equals production plus imports (2003: 999,000 tons; 2004: 2,641,000 tons) less exports (2003: 226,000 tons; 2004: 225,000 tons).
GROWTH
Historical (1999–2004): -0.8 (negative) percent per year; future: 1.8 percent per year through 2006. Source: CMR
PRICE
Historical (1999–2004): High, $60 per ton, virgin acid, 100 percent basis, tanks, Gulf, works; low, $30 per ton, same basis. Current: $55 to $65 per ton, same basis. Sources: Producers
USES Fertilizers, 75 percent; mining, 4 percent; petroleum alkylation, 4 percent; inorganic chemicals and pigments, 3 percent; iron & steel, 1 percent; pulp and paper, 1 percent; organic chemicals, 6 percent; miscellaneous, including rubber and plastics, water treatment and batteries, 6 percent. Source: CMR
MARKET PERSPECTIVE
The merchant sulfuric acid market has been balanced to tight, fluctuating with time and geographical location. Between 25 to 30 percent of sulfuric acid produced goes into the merchant market. One factor behind the tightness is inconsistent supply from smelters. Weak metal prices in recent years have caused smelter operation curtailments.Seventy-five percent of sulfuric acid is used in fertilizer production, and most of this is ammonium phosphate. Fertilizer production is operating above 90 percent of capacity and growing at 2 percent annually. Other growth areas are petroleum alkylation, organic chemicals (mostly caprolactam and methyl methacrylate), and pulp and paper. Application segments in decline are mining, iron and steel, and inorganic chemicals, including sulfate process titanium dioxide.
OUTLOOK
For the forecast period the market is expected to remain balanced to tight. Escalating fuel costs and surcharges and rising rail freight costs will result in surcharges to delivered-price customers. Growth over the forecast period is predicted at 1.8 percent annually, supported mainly by fertilizer production.
— Mark Kirschner
| Agrifos, Pasadena, Tex. | 550 |
| Agrium, Conda, Idaho | 1,240 |
| AK Steel, Middleton, Ohio | 5 |
| Akzo Nobel, LeMoyne, Ala. | 275 |
| BP, Texas City, Tex. | 350 |
| Cargill Fertilizer, Bartow, Fla.; Riverview, Fla. | 4,945 |
| CF Industries, Plant City, Fla. | 2,305 |
| ChevronTexaco, Barber’s Point, Hawaii | 35 |
| CITGO, Lake Charles, La. | 140 |
| ConocoPhillips, Lake Charles, La. | 70 |
| Cytec Industries, Fortier, La. | 625 |
| DuPont, Darrow, La.; La Port, Tex.; North Bend, Ohio; Richmond, Va.; Wurtland, Ky. | 1,485 |
| El Dorado Chemical, El Dorado, Ark. | 110 |
| Elementis Pigments, Easton, Penn. | 15 |
| General Chemical, Anacortes, Wash.; Augusta, Ga.; Newark, N.J.; Richmond, Calif. | 895 |
| Honeywell, Hopewell, Va. | 430 |
| IMC Global, Faustina, La.; New Wales, Fla.; Nichols, Fla.; South Pierce, Fla.; Uncle Sam, La. | 10,185 |
| J.R. Simplot, Lathrop, Calif.; Pocatello, Idaho | 1,500 |
| Koch Sulfur Products, Rosemont, Minn. | 110 |
| Lucite, Beaumont, Tex.; Belle, W.Va.; Memphis, Tenn. | 530? |
| Marsulex, Cairo, Ohio; Oregon, Ohio | 270 |
| Mississippi Phosphates, Pascagoula, Miss. | 1,045 |
| Motiva Enterprises, Deleware City, Del. | 550 |
| Ohio Edison, Niles, Ohio | 10 |
| PCS Nitrogen, Geismar, La. | 500 |
| PCS Phosphate, Aurora, N.C.; White Springs, Fla. | 6,970 |
| Peak Sulfur, Beaumont, Tex.; Fort ?Madison, Iowa; Riverton, Wyo.; Shreveport, La.; Tulsa, Okla. | 730 |
| PVS Chemicals, Chicago, Ill.; Buffalo, N.Y. | 210 |
| Rhodia, Baton Rouge, La.; Baytown, Tex.; Dominguez, Calif.; Hammond, Ind.; Houston, Tex.; Martinez, Calif. | 3,320 |
| Rohm and Haas, Deer Park, Tex. | 725 |
| SF Phosphates, Rock Springs, Wyo. | 1,190 |
| Southern States Chemical, Savannah, Ga.; Wilmington, N.C. | 215 |
| Tampa Electric, Mulberry, Fla. | 70 |
| Tesoro, Martinez, Calif. | 140 |
| U.S. Agri-Chemicals, Ft. Meade, Fla. | 1,465 |
| Valero Energy, Dumas, Tex.; Wilmington, Calif. | 195 |
| Wheeling-Pittsburgh Steel, Follansbee, W.V. | 30 |
| Total | 8,835 |
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