Global near-term petrochem demand firm - NOVA

14 June 2007 23:04  [Source: ICIS news]

TORONTO (ICIS news)--Canada’s NOVA Chemicals expects demand for petrochemicals to remain strong through 2009, chief executive Jeff Lipton told an investor conference on Thursday.


An analyst attending the conference had asked Lipton for his views on a forecast of a potential cyclical downturn in the petrochemicals industry around 2009.


“Demand is going to be on the high side of expectations and supply is going to be lower than expected … we believe that we are going to see very strong market conditions for the foreseeable future,” he said.


Global gross domestic product (GDP) growth and demand for petrochemicals and plastics would continue to be strong, Lipton said.


In the high-growth economies of India and China, the demand for polyethylene (PE) in food packaging, for example, was far outstripping GDP growth, Lipton said.


Lipton said most bets for new petrochemical production were on the low-cost Middle East region, and projects there were moving much slower than expected.


Information about project delays
in the Middle East may not be getting out because industry consultants were constrained from discussing such issues due to their relationship with the companies behind the projects, Lipton said.


The analyst and Lipton in their remarks specifically referred to a forecast by Chemical Market Associates, Inc (CMAI), a US consultancy.


Gary Adams, president of CMAI, declined to comment on Lipton's remark.


By: Stefan Baumgarten
+1 713 525 2653

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