ICIS pricing Methodology

CONTENTS

1. INTRODUCTION

2. GENERAL METHODOLOGY

3. PRODUCT-SPECIFIC METHODOLOGY

     a. Petrochemicals
     b. Crude & Refined Products
     c. Base Oils
     d. Shipping
     e. Fertilizers
     f. ICIS indices
     g. Plant Performance Data

4.GLOSSARY

  INTRODUCTION TO THE 5th EDITION

Welcome to the Fifth Edition of the revised and updated ICIS pricing editorial methodology. This document offers a comprehensive look at the criteria we use to assess global chemical, oil and related markets. It is not designed to be static, rather to continue to grow and adapt to changes in market dynamics as and when they emerge. We have now migrated this document to www.icis.com which we believe gives users greater flexibility in how they access the information.

At ICIS pricing we are committed to working to the very highest standards. Our global editorial teams based in London, Houston, Singapore, Shanghai, Mumbai and other global locations include staff with vast experience of their specialist areas. This expertise has been distilled to form the heart of this freely available methodology.

ICIS pricing produces around 250 different reports on an intraday, daily, weekly or monthly basis. The team also generates real-time news on global markets for ICIS news. We are committed to providing the most up-to-date, comprehensive and accurate market assessments and information possible. ICIS pricing staff are fully trained and equipped to be the market experts our clients can rely on for the critical decisions that need to be made in their businesses.

We recognise the emerging importance of markets in China, the Middle East, Russia and Latin America and the fact that no region operates in isolation. Our global teams communicate with each other on a daily basis as they track and assess our covered markets.

We are proud of what we do, and we are conscious of the huge responsibility we carry in the global chemical markets. We recognise the trust the market places in our information and aim to reciprocate through working to the highest standards.

Our door is open, and I encourage dialogue with both myself and the editorial staff and we will always seek to answer queries openly and honestly.

Andy Soloman
Global Editorial Director
ICIS pricing & ICIS news 
January 2008

Top of page

GENERAL METHODOLOGY

ICIS pricing price quotations are based on information gathered from a wide cross-section of the market, comprising consumers, producers, traders and distributors. Confirmed deals, verified by both buyer and seller, are sought to provide the foundation of price assessments in the weekly reports. Price assessments may include confirmed, reported, or rumoured deals heard in the market. Formal price assessments are intended as a reference only. While every effort is made to present an accurate assessment of prices, ICIS pricing cannot accept responsibility for any decisions made on the basis of reports.

ICIS pricing reserves the right to exclude deals from assessments if they are negotiated in unusual circumstances, if specific conditions are thought to apply or if they are seen by the broader market as unrepresentative. If a deal is excluded from the formal market pricing assessment it will be reported within the text.

The text may refer to confirmed deals, which are verified by both buyer and seller; reported deals that are discussed with either buyer or seller but not confirmed by the other party; and rumoured deals as discussed with third parties, but not confirmed by either buyer or seller.

Information is gathered, primarily by telephone, email or instant messenger platforms, by a team of market editors mainly located in the ICIS pricing regional offices in London, Houston, Singapore and Shanghai. Each editor is responsible for a dedicated product portfolio for their region. This involves close liaison with colleagues to gather information from upstream and downstream markets and with their counterparts in overseas offices to develop an informed and informative editorial team. ICIS pricing appreciates the need to build trust and confidence between its editorial staff and the market. Accordingly, appropriate training is given and shifts in editorial responsibility minimised, where possible.

Quotation Types:

Contract prices are quoted for arm's-length agreements covering the supply of a product over an extended period, generally several years. Prices are negotiated between a buyer and seller at regular intervals, often monthly or quarterly, and are quoted for the month or quarter of delivery, except where indicated. Deals between affiliates are not included, except as general market indicators.

Periods referred to in contract price quotations are either months (noted by standard abbreviations) or quarters of the calendar year.

Q1 January February March

Q2 April May June

Q3 July August September

Q4 October November December

Certain contract prices are negotiated retroactively, with agreements reported much later than the period of delivery. Some contract prices are quoted as a single number rather than in a range, particularly when one contract agreement is used as a reference for an entire market.

Spot prices are quoted for sales of fixed volumes for delivery in a single shipment at a specified time, normally within four weeks from the date of publication. The quotes cover prices agreed in negotiations between buyers and sellers in the week leading up to the date of publication. Prices are generally quoted in a range, which is meant to encompass all of the prices agreed between buyers and sellers and confirmed to ICIS pricing. Certain prices may be excluded from the range if they have been negotiated in unusual circumstances or if special conditions are thought to apply. In the absence of confirmed business, quoted spot prices may reflect discussion levels or the current levels of bids and offers. Assessments are made on an assigned basis – CFR from CFR business, FOB from FOB business. Price adjustments on the basis of netback assessments (e.g. FOB = CFR-freight) are avoided where possible.

Domestic prices are for regular long-term business between producers and consumers on a gross basis, and do not take account of any discounts or rebates which may be applied between individual supliers and customers.

List prices are released by manufacturers as suggested selling prices. In many cases, these prices are reduced after negotiations with buyers.

Price Changes
The change in prices from the previous period is indicated in blue as an increase (+), in red as a decrease (-) or no change (n/c). Changes for prices at the low end of each range are shown at the left and changes for prices at the high end of each range are shown at the right. Changes in weekly spot prices represent the changes from the previous week and changes in monthly or quarterly contract prices represent the change from the previous month or quarter.

Report Name
Some reports cover a range of products. Trade in product of inferior quality (off-spec) is taken into consideration when it affects the market for material that meets standard specifications. Reference to off-spec/distressed cargo is at the discretion of the editor.

Feedstock Prices
Contract prices for certain feedstocks are shown where appropriate. In all cases where feedstock prices are shown, they have been taken from the current ICIS pricing report for the product.

Date
ICIS pricing reports are written on the day of publication. The only exceptions are when a public holiday impacts the market. In some circumstances reports will be compiled one or a maximum two days early. When this occurs, it is clearly marked on the report. ICIS pricing provides daily and weekly pricing reports. Deadlines (unless otherwise specified in the methodology) are 1700 hours local time in London, Singapore, Shanghai and Houston. Market close prices refer to this deadline, unless specified otherwise. The date of publication is not altered in the event of public holidays. All weekly reports are published at least 50 times per year. Certain reports are not published during a two-week period in late December/early January. Daily reports are published five times per week, but may not appear on certain days due to public holidays. Please refer to the ICIS pricing publishing schedule for more detailed information.

Geographical Regions
ICIS pricing normally covers products on a regional basis to ensure the main drivers impacting the market in any given area are adequately covered. Reports are currently issued covering Europe, the Middle East, Asia or Asia-Pacific, China, India, West Asia, the United States or North America and Latin America.

Within these broad areas the most common quotations comprise:

NWE
     
Med
NE Asia
SE Asia
     
West Asia
East Asia
GCC
E Med
     
USG
CMP
mainland Northwest Europe (northern France, Germany, Benelux)
Southern France, Spain, Italy
Taiwan, Korea, Japan, China
Singapore, Philippines, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam
Pakistan, India
NE Asia & SE Asia
Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, UAE
Turkey, Greece, Israel, Egypt, Syria, Jordan, Lebanon
US Gulf
China Main Port

Quotation Basis
Prices are quoted with reference to the terms and location of delivery. The period of delivery is also quoted for contract prices. Assessment windows vary from product to product for spot sales. See specific product entries in the Methodology for further details.

Incoterms devised by the International Chamber of Commerce are mainly used to indicate what costs are included in the price. Assessments do not include Value Added Tax (VAT).Terms regularly used in ICIS pricing reports can be found in the Glossary.

Units
Prices are quoted in the currency and unit measure relevant to the particular market. Most chemicals are quoted in US dollars per metric tonne (USD/MT), although euros per metric tonne (EUR/MT), US cents per pound (US CTS/LB) or US cents per gallon (US CTS/GAL) are frequently used. Historical data includes assessments previously measured in European currencies superseded by the euro.

Conversions (Weights and Measures)
Prices are converted to other currencies and unit measures for ease of reference. Conversions are derived from the quoted price assessments using standard rates of conversion and current exchange rates. Conversions involving weights and volumes are calculated within industry acceptable ranges, which vary from product to product according to specific gravity (e.g. USD/MT to CTS/GAL).

Foreign Exchange Rates
Exchange rates are shown for a variety of international currencies. Rates are not
established by ICIS pricing but are published by arrangement with Xenon (www.xe.com). The exchange rates shown are those in effect at the time and date indicated, normally around 17:15 hours in London on the day of publication. They are not a mean or average of exchange rates in effect during the period since the report was last published, but reflect a mean of the bid/offer at the time taken for that particular day. Exchange rates published by ICIS pricing are intended only as a reference and rates offered by local banks or other financial institutions may vary. ICIS pricing also offers a real-time currency conversion tool, with a click-through link from the pricing reports, to enable subscribers to make quick exchange calculations.

Non Market Price Adjustments
Non-market price adjustments are necessary on the rare occasions when after careful consideration it is determined that the level of a price assessment is deemed to have become unrealistic. Before any decision is taken to adjust a price level, a broad spectrum of market participants is polled for their views on both the necessity and potential impact of any planned change and its timing.

Once it is clear an adjustment is required, ICIS pricing posts a notice telling subscribers it intends to make the change, and asks for any feedback over a two week period. After two weeks, and if it is decided to proceed, a second notice is posted informing subscribers that the adjustment will be made two weeks later. All price adjustments take place with a minimum four weeks public notice to subscribers.

Once the adjustment has taken place it is prominently mentioned in the price report it applies to. ICIS also adds a note to the online Price History to explain the apparent step-change in prices. It is important to note that price change deltas remain unaffected by any adjustment and the price trend remains accurate.

Top of page



Printer Friendly Icon Printer Friendly
ICIS free trials
ICIS news Find out how ICIS can help you. Get a free trial to any of the ICIS products and services. Find out more >>

Insight

INSIGHT: Nail-biting at the US central bank
“Translated from Fed-speak, that means the wheels could come off at any time." more

Air Products sponsors this podcast

ICIS radio: Chemical News Central: 23 Dec 2008
More...

Feedback

We welcome your feedback. Please feel free to send us your comments on any aspect of this site. Click here to make your comments.

 

A time to look back and a time to look forward

Simon Robinson's Big Biofuels Blog