June US jet fuel prices seen to fall short of expectations

10 June 2010 20:35  [Source: ICIS news]

HOUSTON (ICIS news)--US jet fuel prices usually surge through June with the start of the summer travel season but this year prices will likely fall short amid price volatility and increased supplies, a jet fuel trader said on Thursday.

In four out of the past five years, jet fuel prices have climbed from the Memorial Day holiday to the Fourth of July holiday by an average of nearly 10 cents/gal.

“The school season is ending, it’s the beginning of summer, and the beginning of the travel season in a good economy which would mean more people booking flights,” said the New York Harbour (NYH) trader said.

But the volatility of prices this year, along with unavoidable and unpredictable events, has increased jet fuel inventories and pared gains in prices.

“Prices have been moving like any other distillate with major weather affecting the pipeline, volcanic ash cancelling flights, and more,” the trader said.

Volcanic ash in Europe resulted in more than 100,000 flight cancellations and multiple airport closures and dampened demand from mid-April through May.

For the week ended 28 May, New York Harbour (NYH) jet fuel averaged $2.009/gal with US Gulf (USG) coast jet fuel averaging $1.966/gal.

The next week started with Memorial Day and ended on June 4. Prices in the week for NYH jet fuel averaged $2.071/gal and USG averaged $2.019/gal. And this week, NYH prices fell down to $2.054/gal with USG prices at $2.007/gal.

Furthermore, crude prices are maintaining a stable range near $70/bbl, so a boost from higher futures for light sweet crude is not expected to push jet fuel higher. Traders suggested a bump of 5 cents/gal for jet fuel prices in June was a more realistic expectation.

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By: Sheena Martin
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