06 April 2011 16:29 [Source: ICIS news]
HOUSTON (ICIS)--The 2011 Atlantic hurricane season should be above average with 16 named storms, a team of meteorologists said on Wednesday, giving a 72% chance for at least one major hurricane to make ?xml:namespace>
Major hurricanes carry winds of 111 miles/hour (179 km/hour) and higher. Historically, the
Hurricanes can disrupt the North American petrochemical industry, since oil and gas production is concentrated in
Even the threat of a major storm can disrupt oil and natural gas supplies, since companies have to evacuate US Gulf platforms as a precaution.
“We remain - since 1995 - in a favourable multi-decadal period for enhanced
Gray noted that with the exceptions of destructive hurricane seasons in 2004 and 2005, the
“This recent 9 of 11-year period without any major landfall events should not be expected to continue,” he said.
CSU projects 16 named storms (winds of at least 39 miles/hour), nine hurricanes (winds of at least 74 miles/hour) and five major hurricanes. These are well above historical seasonal averages of 10, six and two, respectively.
“We expect that anomalously warm tropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures combined with neutral tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures will contribute to an active season,” said CSU research scientist Phil Klotzbach.
No named storms made
Several storms hit
Overall, the 2010 season was well above average in hurricane activity, with 19 named storms, 12 hurricanes and five major hurricanes. These figures were in line with the CSU group’s prior predictions.
The CSU team issues four hurricane season forecasts per year along with a seasonal recap. Its next forecast will be released on 1 June.
The 2011 Atlantic hurricane season will last from 1 June to 30 November.
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