Power performers

05 September 2005 00:01  [Source: ICB]

A YEAR of strong growth for the chemical industry was topped in 2004 by sharp profit increases for many producers. After the deep slump of recent years, the return to stronger profitability had to be welcome.

Volume demand climbed for most firms, quarter by quarter, across the first nine months of the year at least. Stronger demand put pricing power back in the hands of producers, after it had been weakened over years of poor results in the deepest downturn in more than 20 years. At last prices were pushed higher, to help combat steeply rising raw material costs. Sales values expanded and, with stricter cost control, so did profitability.

The ICIS Top 100 chemical listing charts the fortunes of the leading global chemical producers in 2004 and, for some, in fiscal 2004-05. It captures the financial performance of different companies in different parts of the world but it equally offers unique insight into industry and chemicals sector trends.

This is apparent from the current listing. BASF is placed at the head of the league table of chemicals producers as it has by far the highest sales in terms of US dollars. But the tabulations do not attempt to split out purely chemicals operations from chemical producer’s results for the year, so as to obtain the fullest data sets for each company. Only the chemical interests of the oil majors, however, are included.

SALES GROWTH

The data are grouped to give a feel for sales growth and profitability, both in absolute sense and relatively, as percentage changes are shown for each entry. Key performance ratios can be derived from the full data set.

Analysis of the compiled results shows that the leading companies in terms of sales growth in 2004 were Lyondell and Lubrizol, each with top line growth greater than 50%. The petrochemicals majors benefited greatly in 2004 from rising volume demand and rising prices, pushed through on the back of much higher feedstock costs.

Among the top ten in terms of sales growth were Sabic, Shell, ExxonMobil, National Petrochemical Company (NPC) of Iran, Sinopec, Repsol and Chevron Phillips. Indeed no petrochemical firm produced sales growth below 10% in a banner year for the segment.

SPECIALITY PRICES

The fact that top line growth was lower among the speciality chemicals makers is hardly surprising, given the fact that prices in this sector remained under pressure throughout 2004. Firms were battling price erosion rather than the other way round. Only in the first half of 2005 has it been broadly possible for speciality companies to push through price increases sufficient to help combat the general downward trend.

Some speciality firms also have their own problems linked to the popular life science intermediates segment where overcapacity is rife. The impact of this was seen in 2004, with companies such as Lonza and Rhodia reporting a contraction in sales.

Driving growth through to the bottom line is never easy, but chemical companies have become smarter and indeed more ruthless in recent years. The 2004 numbers reflect the profits many petrochemicals players were able to achieve on the back of particularly strong sales growth. Some took the opportunity to push through more restructuring and book the consequences as exceptional charges for the year.

Distinct profits growth was also not confined to petrochemical players. Companies such as ICI and newly-created Lanxess (the Bayer chemicals spin-off) reported sharp net profit improvements.

Part of the strategic battle in recent years sector-wide has been to tackle organisational and production-related costs. Few companies employed more people in 2004 than in 2003, apart from those making more acquisitions than divestments.

On the cost front, 2004 was another year of restrained capital investment but the data show that many companies began to push spending higher. Capital spending in general for the sector has dropped below depreciation as companies have become more conscious of what they can achieve with existing assets. That is not to say, however, that key projects are passing internally set projected rates of return.

The industry mood was more buoyant in 2004 than it has been for a number of years. It remains so in 2005. Supply/demand balances in many product chains are tight and look likely to remain so in the medium term despite companies’ ambitions to capture more growth with their own production facilities.

In the midst of the upturn in 2004, many companies were conscious of the rising cost of simply doing more business. That having been said, the focus remained very much on controlling selling, general and administrative costs.

THE VIEW FROM ASIA

Asian petrochemical companies in general enjoyed a robust 2004, with a number featuring prominently on the Top 100 list.

Large players led the way. Sabic sales soared 46.5% to $18.28bn, its highest ever figure. Sinopec’s sales rose 39% to $17.86bn, due in part to growing domestic demand for synthetic resins, synthetic fibres and synthetic rubber. Double-digit sales increases for some Japanese companies were also attributed to strong domestic demand.

Operating profits for 2004 rose across the region, and Japan’s larger companies posted considerably better operating profits than in 2003. Other reasons were higher prices and increased shipments, bolstered by the recovery of the Asian market, which was led by buoyant demand from China. Operating profits for Sinopec’s chemicals segment was noteworthy for its massive 428% increase to $2.31bn. Sabic, meanwhile, announced its highest-ever net profits of $3.8bn

Comparable employment figures among Asia’s leading companies were mixed. Staffing levels fell at some Japanese majors in 2004, a reflection of cost cutting and divestments, though recruitment did occur elsewhere as a result of asset acquisitions and expansion.

EUROPE HAS A BONANZA YEAR FOR CHEMICALS

Europe’s top chemical producers had a bonanza of a year in 2004. BASF increased its lead at the top of the pack, with a 12.5% sales growth pushing turnover to more than $50bn. Operating profit was up 83% to $6.6bn. In sales terms, BASF is now 25% larger than nearest EU rival Bayer, which saw sales rise 4.2% in 2004 to $40.3bn.

Behind these two lies a group of petrochemicals businesses owned by the three main oil majors, Shell, BP and Total - all with turnover in the $20bn range. A strong surge in petrochemical volumes and pricing saw sales rise strongly, by 16% at Total, 32% at BP and 42% at Shell. Earnings at the latter, however, were marred by large adjustments for ongoing restructuring in preparation for the 2005 divestments of Basell and Innovene.

In the second half of the Top 10, we find Europe’s worldscale speciality chemical concerns, namely Akzo Nobel, Degussa, Air Liquide, ICI and Solvay. Sales advances here are more subdued, and in the case of Akzo Nobel and ICI there are slight declines as a result of ongoing divestments. All show positive earnings development in 2004. Just outside the Top 10, but still with sales over $10bn, comes DSM, which saw sales grow 28% in 2004 and earnings increase 17%.

In terms of the global picture, Europe’s leading players are still right up there at the top. The EU Top 10 contributes no less than half of the global Top 20 producers, with BASF and Bayer leading the three US majors - Dow Chemical, ExxonMobil Chemicals and DuPont. Huntsman is the fourth Top 20 player from the US, while Japan also contributes four producers, with the balance coming from the Middle East (Sabic) and China (Sinopec).

THE US PERSPECTIVE ON COMPANY WINNERS/LOSERS

The Top 10 US-based chemical companies had a banner year in 2004. After a painful four-year trough, 2003 saw the start of a recovery in the US, and in 2004 it roared ahead. The petrochemical cycle had finally turned in earnest amid robust economic recovery.

Dow Chemical continued to lead the pack with a strong 23% gain in sales to $40.2bn. Meanwhile, ExxonMobil Chemical edged out DuPont for the number two slot as revenues surged 38% to $27.8bn on sharply higher petrochemical and plastics prices.

Huntsman, before going into 2005, saw sales gain 62% to $11.5bn. This was on the back of stronger prices and volumes, as well as the integration of the former Vantico business, now known as Huntsman Advanced Materials.

Chevron Phillips Chemical’s sales advanced 34% to $9.2bn on the surge in olefins and plastics prices. It eclipsed GE Advanced Materials, although the latter still saw a healthy 17% rise in revenues to $8.3bn.

Rohm and Haas continued to represent the speciality pack, with 14% higher sales of $7.3bn, while industrial gas companies Air Products and Praxair continued their steady gains. Each had 18% sales growth.?While sales increased strongly, profits rose to new heights. Industry bellwether Dow Chemical came in with 62% higher profits of $2.8bn. But ExxonMobil Chemical took the cake in terms of absolute profitability, more than doubling its after-tax earnings to $3.4bn.

Financial performance in 2004 may have been impressive, but 2005 promises to be even better in terms of both sales and profitability. Wall Street and most companies expect the US chemical industry to post further strong gains, especially on the commodity chemical side.

After a tough inventory correction in the second quarter of 2005, commodity prices are rebounding and profitability looks to be back on track to surpass strong 2004 levels.



Sales Operating profit or EBIT Net profit Total assets R&D Capital spending Employees
     Company $m Change, % $m Change, % $m Change, % $m Change, % $m Change, % $m Change, % Number Change, %
  1 BASF 50 818 12.5 6574 82.7 2549 106.9 45 915.5 0.9 1588.0 6.2 2612.8 -15.8 81 955 -6.0
  2 Bayer 40 286 4.2 2441 - 816 -144.3 51 179.1 1.0 2852.5 -12.4 1726.1 -26.7 113 000 -2.1
  3 Dow Chemical 40 161 23.1 - - 2797 61.7 45 885.0 9.5 1022.0 4.2 1333.0 21.2 43 203 -6.8
  4 Shell Chemicals 29 497 41.7 1339 -583.4 930 -545.0 - - - - 705.0 17.7 8600 0.0
  5 ExxonMobil Chemicals 27 781 37.6 - - 3428 139.4 - - - - 690.0 -0.3 - -
  6 DuPont 27 340 1.3 - - 1780 77.6 35 632.0 -3.8 1333.0 -1.2 1232.0 -28.1 60 000 -25.9
  7 BP 21 209 31.9 -900 -258.5 - - - - - - 2289.0 195.4 12 400 -22.3
  8 Mitsubishi Chemical 20 421 13.7 1386 51.4 517 60.3 18 379.1 -1.6 832.1 0.8 626.1 -3.2 33 261 -0.7
  9 Total 20 042 16.1 888 158.3 888 158.3 - - - - 1225.2 -18.8 - -
10 Sabic 18 279 46.5 6269 121.7 3791 112.3 33 322.7 14.3 - - - - 2300 0.0
11 Sinopec 17 862 39.0 2311 428.0 - - - - - - 1330.0 50.0 - -
12 Akzo Nobel 17 177 -2.8 1760 22.2 1159 42.2 16 793.9 3.8 165.2 -7.6 745.9 -5.2 61 400 -5.0
13 Degussa 15 222 1.5 952 6.5 403 -214.2 18 456.4 -2.9 471.1 4.2 1016.7 -3.5 44 566 -1.7
14 Asahi Kasei 12 849 9.9 1080 90.1 527 104.0 11 845.3 1.7 473.0 4.7 638.7 -20.7 23 820 -4.8
15 Air Liquide 12 694 11.7 1729 6.8 1053 7.2 19 528.6 31.1 139.8 -36.0 1351.1 - 35 900 12.5
16 Sumitomo Chemical 12 090 11.9 981 57.9 - - 15 377.7 6.4 - - 1173.1 14.2 20 195 6.1
17 Huntsman 11 486 24.1 184 117.5 -228 -28.8 9437.0 8.0 - - 227.0 18.8 11 500 -11.5
18 Mitsui Chemical 11 448 12.7 751 49.4 244 109.6 11 240.4 1.4 325.5 6.1 439.3 3.1 12 228 -1.0
19 ICI 10 732 -4.2 918 11.4 402 950.0 9457.4 -5.2 281.7 -2.0 287.4 8.7 33 820 -6.6
20 Solvay 10 664 4.2 1075 17.2 732 25.8 13 588.1 3.4 559.1 2.2 763.5 1.6 29 300 -2.8
21 DSM 10 495 28.1 662 66.3 355 88.5 12 097.6 -4.9 387.2 6.7 452.2 -83.3 24 180 -7.4
22 Dainippon Inks & Chemicals 9354 2.9 449 9.9 99 66.8 9315.5 -1.8 - - - - 26 757 0.9
23 Chevron Phillips Chemical 9238 33.7 - - 626 8842.9 6872.0 10.1 - - 201.0 -9.9 5300 -2.8
24 Lanxess 9169 7.0 80 - -16 - 6197.0 1.0 166.5 -26.8 372.3 -10.5 19 659 -3.7
25 Basell 9071 17.5 - - - - - - - - - - 6600 -0.8
26 Shin-Etsu 9023 16.2 1415 20.8 869 24.5 13 768.4 6.5 260.4 6.1 1028.5 -2.9 17 384 0.0
27 Johnson Matthey 8876 3.6 399 3.6 - - 2578.0 -1.9 - - - - - -
28 BOC 8320 6.4 1012 27.6 478 20.5 8440.3 -4.5 - - - - 43 383 -2.5
29 GE Advanced Materials 8290 17.1 710 15.3 - - - - - - - - - -
30 Sekisui Chemical 7992 5.2 340 57.9 208 48.4 6983.7 0.0 213.6 -3.4 240.6 7.1 17 002 0.1
31 Merck 7917 -18.6 1051 5.4 892 216.6 7746.4 -18.1 810.9 -1.0 316.8 -16.7 28 877 -15.6
32 Clariant 7475 0.2 483 -9.8 131 -6.8 6839.5 -2.5 240.1 -11.0 - - 24 769 -6.1
33 Air Products 7411 17.7 880 48.0 604 52.1 10 040.4 6.0 126.7 4.6 816.0 -30.3 19 000 0.0
34 Polimeri Europa 7350 20.7 368 nm - - - - - - 134.0 -29.8 6565 -6.9
35 PPG Industries 7309 10.6 - - - - - - - - - - 15 700 -1.3
36 Rohm and Haas 7300 13.7 - - 497 77.5 10 095.0 6.1 263.0 10.5 322.0 -5.0 16 691 -3.2
37 Syngenta 7269 11.4 541 3.8 460 84.0 12 008.0 9.5 809.0 11.4 166.0 -21.3 19 536 2.5
38 Rhodia 7149 -10.0 -471 286.0 -846 -53.7 7402.6 -16.3 211.2 -16.6 269.4 -14.6 20 577 -10.8
39 LG Chem 6886 25.7 505 10.4 518 48.1 5486.9 19.3 - - - - 10 000 0.0
40 Reliance Industries 6866 2.7 860 10.6 860 10.6 3356.0 2.0 - - 23.0 -71.0 - -
41 Yara International 6703 12.4 555 30.3 582 72.0 4260.0 3.4 21.0 7.9 - - 7067 -4.9
42 Praxair 6594 17.5 1103 19.6 697 19.1 9878.0 18.9 77.0 2.7 - - 27 020 6.2
43 Eastman Chemical 6580 13.4 - - - - 5872.0 -6.0 154.0 -11.0 248.0 7.8 12 000 -20.0
44 Ineos 6500 - - - - - - - - - - - 10 000 -
45 Borealis 6265 26.0 376 612.8 150 1168.8 4250.9 0.3 55.5 2.5 259.9 61.3 4939 -1.9
46 Ciba Specialty Chemicals 6158 -3.8 455 3.5 273 -9.6 - - 252.4 2.5 - - 19 338 3.6
47 Sherwin-Williams 6114 13.1 632 10.1 393 18.4 4274.0 16.1 34.0 0.0 107.0 -8.2 28 690 11.3
48 Lyondell Chemical 5968 57.0 105 - 54 - 15 928.0 108.7 41.0 10.8 83.0 -69.0 10 800 222.4
49 Linde 5419 4.2 866 7.0 - - - - - - 714.8 33.0 17 570 0.9
50 Transammonia 5300 32.5 - - - - - - - - - - - -
Sales Operating profit or EBIT Net profit Total assets R&D Capital spending Employees
     Company $m Change, % $m Change, % $m Change, % $m Change, % $m Change, % $m Change, % Number Change, %
51 Nova Chemicals 5270 33.5 264 -452.0 262 835.7 5047.0 14.4 48.0 6.7 147.0 -6.4 4100 -4.7
52 Sasol 5255 -6.5 188 -23.9 - - - - - - - - - -
53 Celanese 5069 10.1 130 10.2 -175 -218.2 - - - - 210.0 13.5 9000 -5.3
54 Tosoh 5052 22.0 501 94.0 - - 4794.0 13.0 - - 409.0 116.0 - -
55 Mosaic 4673 - 265 - 86 - - - - - - - - -
56 Engelhard 4166 12.1 - - 231 0.9 3179.0 8.4 99.9 7.4 123.0 7.9 6500 0.3
57 UCB 4154 3.4 655 -0.6 491 6.8 7275.3 73.9 509.0 39.3 3425.1 286.9 11 403 -1.4
58 Repsol 4095 35.1 343 63.2 - - - - - - 396.7 261.7 32 376 5.7
59 Kaneka 4085 9.4 402 34.3 231 58.4 3703.8 1.2 - - 215.9 0.8 6649 0.8
60 Occidental Chemical 3675 18.9 - - - - - - - - - - 2974 -3.7
61 Mitsubishi Gas Chemical 3624 14.1 288 106.7 352 99.8 4612.7 4.1 - - - - 2277 -
62 Honeywell Specialty Materials 3497 10.4 - - 184 35.3 - - - - 156.0 8.3 - -
63 Kuraray 3466 6.9 324 18.6 180 21.7 4443.0 10.1 136.0 1.5 446.0 41.9 6919 2.4
64 Wacker-Chemie 3443 3.0 264 -432.1 108 -183.7 3323.6 -2.0 205.8 0.0 494.1 9.9 14 688 -6.0
65 Orica 3430 14.3 401 25.1 238 224.8 3008.4 16.8 22.5 3.3 144.2 65.8 10 111 0.0
66 Kemira 3429 -7.5 194 30.2 76 0.3 2563.0 -0.9 - - - - 7137 -32.0
67 Dow Corning 3373 17.4 442 29.8 238 34.9 - - - - - - 8800 0.0
68 Showa Denko 3210 0.7 239 39.0 - - 3599.0 -1.2 43.0 -1.6 74.0 - - -
69 Lubrizol 3159 53.9 - - - - 4566.0 135.1 191.0 14.4 133.0 50.3 7779 54.6
70 NPC (Iran) 3138 37.4 - - 121 -57.1 17 359.0 23.5 26.0 10.2 1404.0 -64.9 16 499 0.6
71 Cognis 3073 4.2 134 98.0 -46 -52.1 3404.8 -4.0 125.9 -7.9 178.7 8.2 8059 -6.9
72 Nalco 3033 9.6 - - - - 5934.0 -3.7 - - 92.0 -8.9 10 000 -4.8
73 Potash Corp of Saskatchewan 2901 17.6 - - 268 248.1 5127.0 12.3 - - 0.0 46.4 4906 0.0
74 JSR 2848 11.0 423 39.0 257 42.4 3031.4 5.3 149.5 6.2 169.1 5.7 4362 0.4
75 Agrium 2838 13.6 467 2124.0 276 2656.0 16.9 N/A N/A 82.0 -17.2 4617 -1.1
76 Grupo Alfa 2738 24.0 209 19.0 44 124.0 2527.0 1.6 - - - - - -
77 Israel Chemical 2715 19.6 355 74.9 251 143.7 3062.0 2.0 32.0 10.3 119.0 -5.6 8546 -2.6
78 Solutia 2697 11.0 5 -112.8 -115 27.8 2076.0 -15.1 - - 61.0 -21.8 5700 -9.5
79 Givaudan 2680 -1.3 424 42.4 307 62.0 3767.2 -5.5 - - 130.6 -5.7 5901 -1.3
80 Crompton 2550 16.7 - - - - 2678.7 5.9 - - - - 4800 -13.1
81 Valspar 2441 8.6 - - 143 26.5 2634.0 5.5 76.0 8.6 - - 7504 7.0
82 Asahi Glass 2349 25.9 - 128.3 - - - - - - 146.1 53.7 - -
83 Denki Kagaku Kogyo (Denka) 2342 3.0 200 19.1 98 121.1 - - 46.2 -4.6 - - - -
84 Ube 2312 15.2 - - - - - - - - - - - -
85 WR Grace 2260 14.1 - - -402 628.8 3539.0 23.1 - - - - 6500 3.2
86 PolyOne 2162 10.0 - - - - - - - - - - 5233 -20.1
87 Tessenderlo Group 2078 5.4 137 23.2 58 -1.6 2235.1 4.0 28.2 2.9 238.3 47.9 8181 -0.6
88 FMC 2051 6.8 271 24.3 160 492.6 2975.0 5.2 93.0 6.9 85.0 -2.3 5300 0.0
89 IFF 2034 7.0 - - 196 13.3 2363.0 2.4 175.0 10.1 71.0 7.6 5212 -4.4
90 Hercules 1997 8.2 227 -11.0 27 -40.0 2710.0 -0.0 43.0 10.3 77.0 60.4 4947 2.5
91 Cabot 1934 7.7 - - 124 55.0 2426.0 4.3 53.0 -17.2 119.0 -7.8 4400 0.0
92 Lonza 1912 -9.9 188 -28.8 121 51.6 2927.7 0.9 62.2 2.9 - - 5668 0.2
93 Millennium Chemicals 1888 11.9 7 -112.3 -31 -83.3 2497.0 4.1 - -8.7 55.0 14.6 3420 -5.0
94 Honam Petrochemical 1886 33.7 314 124.1 517 154.1 2240 37.1 - - - - - -
95 British Vita 1837 2.0 94 -9.3 113 84.4 - - - - - - 7839 -5.1
96 PKN Orlen 1663 21.0 244 92.0 - - 894.0 30.0 - - 185.0 14.0 - -
97 EVC 1654 18.4 52 -0.3 -72 103.8 471.3 -8.6 - - - - 2918 0.2
98 Great Lakes Chemical 1604 12.5 53 -184.9 63 -222.4 919.0 20.9 - - - - 3700 -2.6
99 Kemira Growhow 1567 1.5 71 37.0 45 -6.7 - - - - 104.0 46.0 2901 -5.0
100 Asahi Denka Kogyo 1416 7.4 137 24.2 71 75.1 1661.3 6.0 - - - - - -

 
EU TOP 10
Company Sales,
$m
Change,
%
Operating
profit, $m
Change,
%
BASF 50 818 12.5 6574 82.7
Bayer 40 286 4.2 2441 nm
Shell Chemicals 29 497 41.7 1339 -583.4
BP 21 209 31.9 -900 nm
Total 20 042 16.1 888 158.3
Akzo Nobel 17 177 -2.8 1760 22.2
Degussa 15 222 1.5 952 6.5
Air Liquide 12 694 11.7 1729 6.8
ICI 10 732 -4.2 918 11.4
Solvay 10 664 4.2 1075 17.2
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS

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