The eternal optimists at Nova Chemicals presented a very bullish view of olefins and polyolefins markets at their recent results meeting.Aaron Yap, trader with Integra, was also equally bullish at the ICIS Asian Polymers Conference in Shanghai last week - see Download file
In short, Aaron believed that demand growth would hold up downstream while olefins supply would lengthen in 2008-12. This will mean much better margins for the PE and PP producers.
Needless to say, I think this is all nonsense. I will be buying truckloads of petchem company shares in 2009 when valuations crash. Any bankers who also want to join with me in a few cheap buyouts, you know my phone number.