Archive | April, 2012

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Dow Sees China Growth Acceleration

By John Richardson

DOW Chemical CEO Andrew Liveris said in an earnings call, following the release of the company’s Q1 results: “China is stabilising and growth is likely to accelerate later this year as their government keeps shifting its policies …

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The China Shale Gas Risk

By John Richardson

FIVE years ago everybody had written-off the US petrochemicals industry, but now the industry is incredibly gung-ho, thanks to shale gas – even if the issue of demand is somewhat more problematic.

In five years time, might …

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Europe’s “Recovery” Falters

 

By John Richardson

THE mood in European ethylene and polyethylene (PE) markets has changed over the last two weeks, according to my ICIS pricing colleagues, Nel Weddle and Linda Naylor.

“A drop in crude oil and naphtha values saw speculation …

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A Polyolefin Trader’s Perspective

By John Richardson

Word for word, see below what an Asian polyolefins trader told us yesterday:

“This year has been absolutely terrible, the worst I can remember in eight years in this business, and even worse than 2008. There is …

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Consensus Misses The Point

 By John Richardson

The consensus view on China remains that we have reached, or are near, the bottom of the decline in GDP (gross domestic product) growth.

This was how yesterday’s release of the preliminary HSBC China Manufacturing Purchasing Managers …

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China’s Changing Demand

By John Richardson

THE nature of demand in China is changing, despite the belief among some chemicals analysts, and companies, that everything will soon return to normal.

Here is a summary of our key arguments. Please print off and pin …

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The H2 Recovery Story

By John Richardson

THE majority of chemicals analysts have yet to wake up and smell the coffee, according to an industry observer.

“South Korean stocks have come off by 15-30% since their big recovery in January, but it is only …

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China Urbanisation Complications

 By John Richardson

EVERY time you come back to the subject of China, it becomes ever-more complex and uncertain.

An excellent example is an article published in the academic journal, Eurasian Geography and Economics, in February, by University of Washington …

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Costly Oil Hurts US Industry

 

By John Richardson 

THE higher that oil prices go the more the US petrochemical industry’s margins have expanded.

Petrochemical prices are oil-driven and, therefore, have to go higher as crude becomes more expensive, whereas the cost of shale gas-based ethane …

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Chems Trade Finance Threat

By John Richardson

NEW banking regulations could severely restrict the ability of small and medium-sized (SMEs) companies to access trade finance. This would hit Asia particularly hard, as the majority of chemicals and polymer business involves SMEs.

Under the Basel III …

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