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Asian Chemical Connections

China Higher-Value Processors Exert More Pressure

By John Richardson ALTHOUGH overall Chinese polyethylene (PE) demand, as we feared would happen, has fallen back to Q1-Q3 2012 levels (current sentiment suggests that it could be even lower), higher-value segments of the industry continue to do very well. It is, therefore, worth reflecting again in more detail on comments made by a source […]

China Demand Worse Than Just Before CNY

By John Richardson CHINA’S demand for polyethylene (PE) is lower than immediately ahead of the February Chinese New Year (CNY) break, said a Singapore-based polyolefins trader. “For demand to be less than just before the New Year, when most traders had already pulled out of the market to avoid cargoes being stranded at ports during […]

Less Bling, Please

Source of picture: Luxepost.com    By John Richardson CHINA’S industrial output has had the weakest start to a year since 2009 and retail sales growth has slowed, according to this article from Bloomberg. New local-currency loans for February were also lower than the estimates of 27 out of 28 analysts in a Bloomberg News survey. […]

Innovation: No More Time Left To Lose

   Source of picture: http://whyfiles.org/    By John Richardson MY colleague Nigel Davis has written an excellent Insight article which highlights how some chemicals companies are seeking to respond to changing patterns. As we have discussed before, Bayer Material Science is adapting its portfolio of products in response to the megatrends – demographics, energy conservation, […]

It Is Now Down To Seven Guys In A Room

 Source of picture: China Daily   By John Richardson The famous investor, Jim Chanos, warned three years years ago that the West places an inordinate amount of trust in “nine guys in a room” (i.e. China’s Politburo Standing Committee) getting it right. Since last year’s leadership transition that trust now needs to be placed in just […]

China NPC Underlines Inflation Focus

The course of true love never runs smooth…..Happy China couples get divorced and then plan to remarry in order to avoid new property tax Source of picture: Quirky China News/Rex Features   By John Richardson China will see “large inflation pressure in the second half of the year,” said a People’s Bank of China official on the […]

Death By A Thousand Cuts

By John Richardson COST cutting and disciplined operating rates have been two of the factors that have helped maintain European cracker and polyethylene (PE) profitability at pretty healthy levels since the onset of the global financial crisis in 2008. So too has the European cluster concept, where producers can share ethylene via pipelines and where […]

We Told You So

By John Richardson POLYETHYLENE (PE) prices in China fell by $5-10/tonne for the week ending 1 March, according to ICIS pricing. “It is increasingly clear that Chinese growth will slow from the second quarter onwards and this will limit potential recovery for Asia,” say analysts at Credit Agricole. The Shanghai Composite Index dropped 3.7% on […]

China Coal Cap: What It Means For Chems

By John Richardson IF China’s decade-long focus on coal-fuelled heavy industry is really coming to an end, as this article in The Sydney Morning Herald suggests, then the prospects for further approvals of coal-to-olefins (CTO) projects seem very bleak indeed. “In the first 12 years of this millennium, China increased annual coal use by a […]

Reassessing China Petchem Projects

By John Richardson Methanol-to-olefins (MTO) projects in China are subject to more disagreement over viability than any other group of petrochemicals investments, said HSBC in a report released last month. HSBC, for example, takes a pretty negative view of the economics of MTO projects. This applies both to planned investments based on locally-sourced coal – […]

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