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Your Seven-Point Guide To H2 2015 Oil Prices

By John Richardson

BEFORE you get carried away with the wholly misguided notion that we have entered into a “new normal” of oil prices in the region of $60-80 a barrel for the rest of this year, see below for …

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US Fed Reinvents 19th Century Boom And Boost Oil Markets

By John Richardson

ONE way of looking at the world is that central bankers know exactly what they are doing as they are Masters of the Universe.

These bankers have excellent degrees and doctorates from top universities bursting out their …

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China’s Latest Interest Rate Cut: The Essential Context

By John Richardson

CHINA lowered interest rates for the third time in six months on Sunday in a further attempt to limit the damage caused by economic reforms.

The two earlier rate cuts, and February’s reduction in the bank reserve-requirement …

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Why The New Belief In Oil-Price Stability Is Wrong

By John Richardson

THE new consensus view on oil prices,  based on my discussions with many delegate on the side lines of this year’s Asia Petrochemical Industry Conference (APIC) in Seoul, South Korea, seems to run roughly as follows:…

OK,

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China And The Lewis Turning Point: It Is Here

By John Richardson

FOR the last four years, my fellow blogger Paul Hodges and I have been consistently arguing that China was about to hit the Lewis Turning Point.

This is the point at which any country runs out of …

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How 3D Printing Means No Repeat Of China’s Growth Story

By John Richardson

AS you can see from the above chart, China’s percentage share of the global polypropylene (PP) market has risen from 15% of consumption in 2000 to 33% in 2014. During the same period, however, India’s share of …

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China To Stop Importing Chemicals As It Exports New Technologies

By John Richardson

LAST Friday I discussed how, even without the impact of demographics on demand, it is mathematically impossible to fit one two billion into two billion.

Now bear with me for a few minutes. The themes I discussed …

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Ageing Populations And Fitting Two Billion Into One Billion

By John Richardson

THE above chart is of absolutely critical importance for anybody who is serious about estimating both the strength and nature of future global demand growth for chemicals.

If you are not a serious analysts then, sure, ignore …

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Oil Price Rally Built On Very Fragile Ground

By John Richardson

OIL prices rallied yesterday on an unexpected fall in inventories at Cushing in the US to 61.7 million barrels for the week ending 24 April (see the above chart). This was a decline of 514,000 barrels over …

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China’s Long, Hard Struggle To Reform Local Govt Financing

By John Richardson

A story that moves financial markets doesn’t have to be true. All that matters is that the narrative convinces enough people for a sufficient period of time to move markets either up or down, thus allowing speculators …

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