Archive | Business RSS feed for this section

The Dollar, Yen and Euro Battle: Implications For Crude Oil

By John Richardson

STILL don’t buy the argument of the role of central bank money in distorting the oil prices, which I made last Friday when I argued that is more of this cheap money that is behind today’s oil …

Continue Reading
Supercycle1

Oil Prices: You Must Answer The Supercycle Argument

By John Richardson

THE continuing failure of genuine price discovery in oil markets was perfectly summarised  by the the Wall Street Journal today, when it wrote:

Commodity hedge funds added $4.1 billion in the first quarter, their best quarter in …

Continue Reading

China Takes Two Steps Back: The New Lending Surge

By John Richardson

JUST as it appeared as if the visionary reformers within the Chinese government had won their battle to deflate the most economically and environmentally toxic investment bubble in global economic history, China has taken a step backwards.…

Continue Reading

European Polyolefins: Rebuilding The Bridges

 

By John Richardson

SHOULD any petrochemicals value chain be a zero-sum game – a constant battle between suppliers and customers to determine who emerges as the single winner in any one month or quarter?

No, absolutely not. It is …

Continue Reading

The Doha Oil Meeting: Were You Ahead Of The Curve?

By John Richardson

IT WAS tremendous whilst it lasted for the hedge funds and will have enabled them to make a lot of money – the ones who, of course, had the good sense to switch from long to short …

Continue Reading

Managing Relationships And Demand In China

By John Richardson

SOME of China’s plastic converters started out life with loans of just a few thousands yuan from private small lenders, or even friends and family. But now these same converters operate nationwide networks of factories and are …

Continue Reading

The End Of The Economic Supercycle: What To Do Next

By John Richardson

THE above infographic explains the end of the economic Supercycle:

•During the 1980s/1990s, the BabyBoomers – the largest and wealthiest generation that the world has ever seen – entered the Wealth Creator generation (those aged 25 – …

Continue Reading

Reliance On Any China Polymer Deficit Will Not Work

 

By John Richardson

THE “last big man standing’, as polyethylene (PE) was described to me during my visit to Shanghai last week, is widely expected to remain in major deficit in China for the next decade at least.

As …

Continue Reading

Saudi Arabia, Refining And The Battle for Crude Market Share

By John Richardson

SAUDI ARABIA is determined to win its battle for greater market share of the global oil market, and at the same add value downstream to its hydrocarbon reserves. This is the consistent message I have picked over …

Continue Reading

Why US Natural Gas Will Stay Very Cheap

By John Richardson

CONVENTIONAL thinking about US natural gas prices is that they will start to edge up over the next few years.

Reasons include major shale gas investment cutbacks resulting from the recent collapse in US natural gas pricing.…

Continue Reading