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Ageing Populations And Fitting Two Billion Into One Billion

By John Richardson

THE above chart is of absolutely critical importance for anybody who is serious about estimating both the strength and nature of future global demand growth for chemicals.

If you are not a serious analysts then, sure, ignore …

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China 19% PP Production Increase Should Be No Surprise

By John Richardson

THE chart above should come as no surprise whatsoever to anybody in the global polypropylene (PP) business.

Here is why:…

Many of China’s new PP plants are coal-based and so are located in inland provinces where job

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The Chemicals “Recovery”: Seeing Through The Flawed Logic

By John Richardson

AROUND 90% or more of the price movements in most chemicals and polymers are tied to crude oil.

Add to that the pick-ups in buying than can occur from time to time, based on supply and demand …

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European Petchems: Necessity is Again The Mother Of Invention

By John Richardson

WHEN has a European cracker gone beyond its useful life? Forty or 50 years? Or maybe if you spend the right amount of money, it can last for a great deal longer.

Devoting enough ingenuity and capital …

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Rising US Oil Supply And How Innovation Never Stands Still

By John Richardson

NECESSITY is the mother of new inventions, and also of innovations that make improvements on old inventions.

When, for example, oil and gas prices were sky-high in the US, this prompted the late and great George Mitchell …

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How To Select Your Advice On China: Two New Litmus Tests

By John Richardson

SORTING out those who get it from those who either don’t want to admit they are wrong or don’t even know that they are wrong is vital for chemicals businesses  as the New Normal progresses.

So how …

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Why Getting It Wrong Really, Really Matters Today

By John Richardson

It is never easy to admit you are wrong because of the loss of “face” (and for me “face” is just as much an issue in the West as it is in Asia. It just presents itself …

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Just “Black Swans” That We Can’t Predict? Nonsense

By John Richardson

HERE is a list of just a few recent what were are told were “Black Swan” events:…

The Lehman Bros-triggered global financial crisis.
China’s 2008-2013 economic stimulus package.
Last year’s collapse in oil prices.
China’s economic and

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Do Business On China’s Terms Or Do No Business At All

By John Richardson

THE above slide summarises where I think the future opportunities will lie for overseas polyolefins producers in the key China market.  This is taken from my  recent speech at the ICIS 4th World Polyolefins  Conference in Amsterdam.…

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China: Prepare For An “Industrial Shakeout” Later This Year

By John Richardson

HERE is some good news to start the week: The latest Bank of England “stress test” for UK banks includes this scenario for China:…

China’s real GDP growth falls to just 1.7% in Q4 of this year.

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