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How To Get Through 2015 In One Piece (More Or Less)

By John Richardson

EVERY time the oil price stabilises for just a few days there is pretty widespread talk of the market having found a bottom  and that a rebound is about to begin.

A case in point was last …

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Oil Markets In One Word: China

By John Richardson

A COMMENT I have heard so many times over the last two months is that once oil prices settle down, China’s petrochemicals buyers will have to come back in large numbers in order to replenish what must …

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China Petrochemicals In 2015: Five More Predictions

By John Richardson

HERE are five more predictions for China’s petrochemicals markets during 2015:

1.) Polyethylene, polypropylene (PP), phenol, purified terephthalic acid (PTA) and polyvinyl chloride (PVC) will be just some of the products that will see declines in imports …

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US Petrochemicals: Three Predictions For 2015

By John Richardson

AS you can see from the table below, there are  no less than 12 US ethane-based cracker projects being planned with lots of associated downstream capacity.

Theoretically, this represents:…

14.8m tonnes/year of new ethylene capacity at these

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China Polyethylene: Three Predictions For 2015

By John Richardson

THE  chart  below serves as an excellent illustration of the big shift in consensus thinking about China’s overall economy, as it shows that:…

PE imports surged in January on the belief that China would “blink” – and

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2014: The Rear View Mirror

By John Richardson

MOST of my forecasts for 2014, which I made in this post on 30 December last year, look good in the rear view mirror.

I was right about credit availability being the single biggest issue for the …

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The Emperor’s New Clothes: Time To Spot The Obvious

By John Richardson

IF enough of the right kind of people say something enough times then everybody starts believing what they say, regardless of whether or not they have done the right kind of research.

Part of this is down …

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China Restructures The Global Petchems Business

By John Richardson

This chart should truly take your breath away as it shows that:…

China’s purified terephthalic acid (PTA) exports fell from 2.5m tonnes in January-November 2013 to just over a million tonnes for the same period this year.

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China: There Is Still Time Left To Fix Mistakes

By John Richardson

WHEN something seems as if it is just too good to be true it usually – and this applies to China’s auto market.

As I have long argued, growth had to moderate from the 138% increase in …

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China: Estimating “Wealth Effect Decelerators”

By John Richardson

HERE is one of the many charts out there which show the awesome growth in chemicals and polymer consumption in China since 2000.

In this case, as you can, see the product is polypropylene (PP), where consumption …

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