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The OPEC “Deal”: What It Really Means

By John Richardson

THE OPEC decision to cut oil production for the first time since 2008, if indeed it does amount to a real cut in production, could end up being self-defeating.

As I discussed last month, US shale oil …

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Global Trade: What The New Dynamics Mean For Petchems

By John Richardson

THE result of this year’s US presidential election may well be determined by one issue – trade – as yesterday’s first presidential debate perhaps indicated.

These are incredibly dangerous times for the global economy, and with it, …

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What Exclusion From China’s One Belt, One Road Looks Like

By John Richardson

IS the whole world really turning again free trade? No, if you consider the potential improvement in trade flows between the 65 mainly developing countries which make up China’s One Belt, One Road (OBOR) initiative.

What we …

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Paraxylene: Another Chemicals World Turned Upside Down

By John Richardson

THE PARAXYLENE (PX) industry is enjoying an unprecedented period of demand growth, according to the above chart from our recently updated Supply & Demand database:…

Between 2000 and 2016, global demand for PX will have jumped by

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Polyethylene: A World Turned Upside Down

By John Richardson

THE recent history of polyethylene (PE) shows a global competitive landscape very different from that which most people expected two years ago.

Two years ago, we were told that the natural price for oil was $100/bbl because …

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Make Global Trade War In 2017 Your Base Case Scenario

By John Richardson

WE are trapped in a cycle of economic policymaking failure that has already led to a retreat in global free trade. What happens next could well be a global trade war as soon as next year.

The …

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The US And China: Saudi Arabia’s Big Picture Oil Strategy

By John Richardson

THE above chart should tell you a great deal of what you need to know about Saudi Aramco’s interest in buying the LyondellBasell Industries (LBI) refinery that’s located in the Houston Ship Canal in the US:…

Between

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China And Iran: Reshaping Global Polyester Trade

By John Richardson

IN TODAY’S world you have to start with political, social and macroeconomic factors to help build your map of global chemicals trade flows over the next ten years.

You next need to consider the old standard measures …

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Had Enough Of Experts? Fair Enough, But Facts Still Matter

By John Richardson

MANY millions of people have had enough of the political and economic establishment in the West because:…

It failed to predict the US sub-prime and European sovereign debt crises, resulting in people losing their homes and/or their

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Saudi Aramco In A Low Oil Price World

By John Richardson

NEWS of plans to list 5% of Saudi Aramco is obviously some four months old. There is thus a danger that in the welter of other later events, the long term significance of this decision ends up …

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