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How China Can Fix Its Housing Crisis

By John Richardson

THE above chart shows the affordability of real estate in China’s Tier 1 cities (its biggest cities) as of June 2013 compared with many of the world’s other “rich cities”.

Why the speech marks around “rich cities”? …

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China’s Real Estate Crisis Was Entirely Predictable

By John Richardson

AN investment bubble can only remain stable if you pump ever-more air into the bubble. If you don’t continue to do this, then the bubble is in severe danger of bursting.

The warning signs started flashing red …

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Be Very Careful Of the $60-70 Oil “New Normal”

By John Richardson

THERE is an argument being made that the recent stability in oil prices will continue as crude enters a “New Normal” of $60-70 a barrel.

This type of thinking seems to have had an effect on petrochemicals …

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India’s Budget: Going Beyond The 2% Who Own Shares

By John Richardson

ANYBODY who invests in the Indian stock market might well regard today as a buying opportunity ahead of tomorrow’s announcement of India’s latest budget.

Or, of course, it might be an opportunity to go short if you …

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“Bad Deflation” Set To Dominate Global Economy

By John Richardson

THERE has been a great deal of discussion lately about the differences between “good” and “bad deflation”.

Good deflation, we are told, includes the fall in oil prices that has put more money in the pockets of …

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China Peak Steel And Chemicals Demand May Have Arrived

By John Richardson

EVERYONE involved in the iron ore business must be very worried about the recent speech by the new chairman of the China Iron & Steel Association.

“Under the ‘new normal’ China’s iron and steel consumption has already …

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Please Plan Now For A Yuan Devaluation

By John Richardson

IF YOU haven’t already planned for the possibility of a substantial drop in the value of China’s Yuan then you have no more time to lose.

I suggest every chemicals company that finds itself in this situation …

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China After The Lunar New Year: Your Five-Point Guide

By John Richardson

HERE is a five-point guide to what will happen in China after the Lunar New Year is over (most of China will be only holiday from 18-24 February):…

The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) now seems almost

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China January Data Concludes The Debate

By John Richardson

THE latest data from China further underlines what I have been arguing since early last year – that it is at the centre of a Great Unwinding that will have deep and lasting global economic consequences.

Here …

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India’s Search For A New Growth Model

By John Richardson

THE great news is that China is moving towards a new, and potentially very effective, economic growth model.

Can we say the same for India?

The reason why I pose this question is because, since Narendra Modi …

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