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The Dollar, Yen and Euro Battle: Implications For Crude Oil

By John Richardson

STILL don’t buy the argument of the role of central bank money in distorting the oil prices, which I made last Friday when I argued that is more of this cheap money that is behind today’s oil …

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Oil Prices: You Must Answer The Supercycle Argument

By John Richardson

THE continuing failure of genuine price discovery in oil markets was perfectly summarised  by the the Wall Street Journal today, when it wrote:

Commodity hedge funds added $4.1 billion in the first quarter, their best quarter in …

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Sitting On The Fence Involves Choosing Failure

By John Richardson

IF you choose not to decide, you still have made a choice. So the choice today is yours. If you remain on the fence, still unsure about whether the end of the Supercycle is real or not, …

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China Takes Two Steps Back: The New Lending Surge

By John Richardson

JUST as it appeared as if the visionary reformers within the Chinese government had won their battle to deflate the most economically and environmentally toxic investment bubble in global economic history, China has taken a step backwards.…

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European Polyolefins: Rebuilding The Bridges

 

By John Richardson

SHOULD any petrochemicals value chain be a zero-sum game – a constant battle between suppliers and customers to determine who emerges as the single winner in any one month or quarter?

No, absolutely not. It is …

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The Doha Oil Meeting: Were You Ahead Of The Curve?

By John Richardson

IT WAS tremendous whilst it lasted for the hedge funds and will have enabled them to make a lot of money – the ones who, of course, had the good sense to switch from long to short …

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Beware Of Oil-Price Rally: Nothing To Do With Fundamentals

By John Richardson

PEOPLE are once again at risk of dangerously over-exposing themselves to a further collapse in oil prices following yesterday’s increase to the highest levels since November 2015. The obvious risk  is that there will be stock building …

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The End Of The Economic Supercycle: What To Do Next

By John Richardson

THE above infographic explains the end of the economic Supercycle:

•During the 1980s/1990s, the BabyBoomers – the largest and wealthiest generation that the world has ever seen – entered the Wealth Creator generation (those aged 25 – …

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A Letter to Janet Yellen: Why People Expect Low Inflation

Last month, Janet Yellen, the chairman of the US Federal Reserve ( see picture on the left), admitted in a briefing to the Economic Club of New York that she was baffled by the lack of strong future inflation expectations …

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Reliance On Any China Polymer Deficit Will Not Work

 

By John Richardson

THE “last big man standing’, as polyethylene (PE) was described to me during my visit to Shanghai last week, is widely expected to remain in major deficit in China for the next decade at least.

As …

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