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China: Your Four-Point Guide To The Interest Rate Cut

By John Richardson

LATE last year China’s government launched one final round of old-style economic stimulus so they could build-up political support ahead of the boldest set of reforms to the economy in at least 20 years.

This was clearly, …

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China And The US: History Repeats Itself

By John Richardson

THE history of the economic rise of the United States during the 19th and 20th centuries is littered with instances of financial crises, oversupply in manufacturing and infrastructure and government stimulus programmes – most notably, the New …

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Getting Started On Rebuilding Your Company Strategy

By John Richardson

THE New Normal is a journey of discovery, as my colleague Paul Hodges pointed out in his blog post yesterday.

As this latest global economic crisis develops, it is vital that we start the journey otherwise many …

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Want Oil Prices Back At Above $1OO? Be Careful What You Wish For

By John Richardson

WE worry that quite a few people still don’t get it on crude oil.

Here is why:…

As recently as July, as the chart above from the latest BP Energy Review shows, oil prices were from 2009

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Oil Prices at $50 or $150 In 2015? Take Your Pick

By John Richardson

REAL price discovery is finally returning to oil markets after years of incredibly harmful central bank stimulus which put the market largely in the hands of the speculators.

But now actual supply of and demand for oil …

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China Announces “The End Of GDP Growth Supremacy”

By John Richardson

THE views of the small number of men who run China – i.e. the country’s Politburo – have long been viewed as the best possible guide to where the country is heading.

Chemicals manufacturers were right to …

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China Coal-To-Olefins “A Net Water Producer”

By John Richardson

IT has become the accepted wisdom over the last few years that the coal-to-olefins (CTO) process in China consumes a lot of water.

This theory has been expressed in so many conference papers and in research papers …

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China Exceeds US 20th Century Cement Output In Just Two Years

By John Richardson

CHINA produced more cement in 2011 and 2012 than the US produced in the whole of the 20th century. Yes, that’s right, China produced more cement in just two years than the States produced in 100 years.…

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Finding A Home For US Polyethylene Expansions

By John Richardson

EVEN if you take a benign view of the future of the US economy (which, separately, we think is the wrong view), the planned increases in US polyethylene (PE) capacity still raise this very important question: Where …

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The Philippines: What A Fantastic Opportunity

By John Richardson

The Philippines is in a demographic sweet spot, according to the CIA factbook. In 2013, for instance, 34% of the population was aged between 0-14 and 19.1 was aged between 15-24.

This is potentially fantastic news if …

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