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Britain’s EU Exit Vote Reflects Lack of Trust In Expert Opinion

 

By John Richardson

MOST politicians, central bank governors, economists and business leaders told everyone that there was no way that the US housing market could drag the world into a global financial crisis.

Then we were told that China’s …

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Brexit, Other Uncertainties Undermine Seasonal Pricing Confidence

By John Richardson

FOR many, many years, seasonality has been a great guide to short term pricing patterns in Asian chemicals and polymer markets.

Take high-density polyethylene (HDPE) injection grade as just one example, which is used to make a …

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Asian Polyethylene: Challenge The New Paradigm

By John Richardson

IT would be very interesting to go back to 2000 and compare the strength of positive sentiment towards the future of the Asian polyethylene (PE) industry to the above chart.

The chart shows spreads between naphtha costs, …

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Oil Storage, China Credit Threaten Crude-Price Rally

By John Richardson

MANAGE your naphtha and other raw material inventories incredibly carefully over the next few months, as you cannot afford to believe the hype that oil prices have definitively, without doubt, bottomed out.

This has to be the …

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Chemicals Companies Need Security Of Demand

By John Richardson

MUCH of the focus of last week’s Asia Petrochemical Industry Conference (APIC) in Singapore  once again seemed to be about feedstock advantage.

This included several charts ranking the competitiveness of the three major categories of ethylene producers …

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US Water Crisis: Be Part Of The Solution, Not The Problem

By John Richardson

IT SHOULD be pretty obvious to all of us that there is a huge gap in the provision of basic needs in the emerging world. Just look, for example, at the some 2.3bn people who in 2015 …

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Go Where The Money Is: Sanitation And Water

By John Richardson

HOW do you define global progress? Is it the number of extra people each year who are able to afford to buy a smartphone, or is it the number of additional people who are given access to …

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The Dollar, Yen and Euro Battle: Implications For Crude Oil

By John Richardson

STILL don’t buy the argument of the role of central bank money in distorting the oil prices, which I made last Friday when I argued that is more of this cheap money that is behind today’s oil …

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Oil Prices: You Must Answer The Supercycle Argument

By John Richardson

THE continuing failure of genuine price discovery in oil markets was perfectly summarised  by the the Wall Street Journal today, when it wrote:

Commodity hedge funds added $4.1 billion in the first quarter, their best quarter in …

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Sitting On The Fence Involves Choosing Failure

By John Richardson

IF you choose not to decide, you still have made a choice. So the choice today is yours. If you remain on the fence, still unsure about whether the end of the Supercycle is real or not, …

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