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Oil Prices: Speculation Reaches New High, As Do Risks For Real Economy

By John Richardson

HEDGE funds and other speculators had amassed a record amount of futures contracts of 885m barrels by 31 January, according to the Financial Times. These contracts were equivalent to almost nine days of actual, physical demand. And …

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Another Layer Of Trumponomics Risk: Equities Versus Real Economy

By John Richardson

THE TOP chart shows that global chemicals industry operating rates fell to just 78.3% in November, even though companies up down the industry’s value chain were building inventory ahead of expected New Year price rises.  This was …

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The Failure Of The Liberal Political And Economic Elite

By John Richardson

ONE of the research papers produced ahead of this year’s World Economic Forum (WEF) meeting in Davos highlighted demographics as one of the key reasons for rising working and middle class discontent in the West.

In an …

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India’s Currency Reforms: Potential Lehman Bros Moment

By John Richardson

IN normal global economic, social and geopolitical circumstances, Narendra Modi’s decision to overnight remove 86% of the cash from the Indian economy would have been a major risk. But these are not the normal global circumstances that …

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Success In 2017: Move Quickly from Denial To Acceptance

By John Richardson

COUNTING the deckchairs on the deck of the Titanic as it heads towards the iceberg is the exact equivalent of assuming that 2017 oil prices will almost be entirely determined by whether or not OPEC and non-OPEC …

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Economic And Geopolitical Chaos In 2017

By John Richardson

MOST of the experts believed that Remain was going to win the vote on whether or not Britain would stay in the EU. Such was the strength of the consensus that even Nigel Farage, then leader of …

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Chemicals Companies Must Be The Solution And Not The Problem

By John Richardson

MORE than 40 years after the launch of the first universal recycling symbol, only 14% of plastic packaging is collected for recycling. When additional value losses in sorting and reprocessing are factored in, only 5% of material …

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China Becomes Dominant Superpower: Implications For Petchems

 

By John Richardson

CHINA can become the world’s No1 Superpower, replacing the US, if it can rise to challenges such as these:…

Asia needs US$8trn of investment in the decade to 2020 to deal with its infrastructure deficit. As countries

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What Exclusion From China’s One Belt, One Road Looks Like

By John Richardson

IS the whole world really turning again free trade? No, if you consider the potential improvement in trade flows between the 65 mainly developing countries which make up China’s One Belt, One Road (OBOR) initiative.

What we …

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Polyethylene: A World Turned Upside Down

By John Richardson

THE recent history of polyethylene (PE) shows a global competitive landscape very different from that which most people expected two years ago.

Two years ago, we were told that the natural price for oil was $100/bbl because …

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