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China Would Be The Only Winner From A Price War

By John Richardson

IT IS dangerously wrong to still think of China as just a cheap, copycat low-value manufacturing nation. Yes, cheap, agreed, and to begin with, as was the case with the US, it has copied other countries’ technologies.…

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Oil Markets In One Word: China

By John Richardson

A COMMENT I have heard so many times over the last two months is that once oil prices settle down, China’s petrochemicals buyers will have to come back in large numbers in order to replenish what must …

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China Polyethylene: Three Predictions For 2015

By John Richardson

THE  chart  below serves as an excellent illustration of the big shift in consensus thinking about China’s overall economy, as it shows that:…

PE imports surged in January on the belief that China would “blink” – and

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Starting All Over Again: A Ten-Point Guide For 2015

By John Richardson

AS chemicals companies go back to their budget plans for 2015, and redraw them entirely, here are ten things that they must take into account:…

The oil price is not going to return to $100 a barrel

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So Much For The Bonus From Cheaper Oil

By John Richardson

THE big turning point in Asian petrochemicals markets can be traced back to around the end of July for three big reasons:

• It was broadly accepted from then onwards that China wasn’t going to change its …

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US Petrochemicals Will Suffer From “The Blame Game”

 

By John Richardson

THE chat below provides some very instructive reading as it shows that:…

Since 2000, overall real consumption in US polyethylene (PE) has fallen from around 12.5m tonnes to 12.3m tonnes (real consumption is domestic production plus

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Asia’s Petchems Decline: Reject Tried And Trusted Analysis

By John Richardson

ASIA’S petrochemicals traders and producers have on the whole done fantastically well over the last 20 years by sticking with tried-and-trusted ways of assessing markets.

It is very tempting, therefore, to think that today’s weak demand will …

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US Polyethylene’s Weak Pricing Power

By John Richardson

HERE is the thing: Petrochemicals pricing for just about every product in every region is usually pretty much set by crude oil and yet in the US, the correlation between polyethylene (PE) pricing and oil has been …

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Global Polyethylene: A Painful Balancing Act

By John Richardson

HERE are a few important facts about polyethylene (PE):…

China accounted for 30%, or 2.35m tonnes , of global imports of linear low-density PE (LLDPE) in 2013 (see the above chart).
It accounted for 43% of high-density

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US Petrochemicals: The Way Forward

By John Richardson

ANYBODY out there prepared to make a guess? How long are these fantastic earnings for US petrochemicals companies in the key polyolefins space going to last? Six months, 12 months, 18 months or perhaps even longer?

The …

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