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China Drives 58% Of Global PP Growth, So What’s Your Plan B?

By John Richardson

THIS IS a great example of putting most of your eggs in one basket! Polypropylene (PP) shareholders are entitled to ask what Plan B is if China can no longer deliver as much as 58% of the …

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China PP Market Outlook for H2 And 2018

By John Richardson

AS IS the case with polyethylene (PE), China’s polypropylene (PP) market continues to catch up with the underlying realities of demand growth.

If you recall, in Q1 of this year PP net imports (imports minus exports) grew …

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China’s PE Imports: Recycling Ban Adds To Uncertainty

By John Richardson

FOR the time being at least, the year-on-year growth in China’s polyethylene (PE) net imports (imports minus exports) has fallen.

In January-May 2017, net imports were up by no less than 19%. However, the January-June increase is …

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China PP Demand Surprises On The Upside, But Oil Threat Remains

By John Richardson

CHINA’S PP market, provided oil prices don’t further collapse, seems to be pretty close to the end of a destocking cycle that stretches back to February of this year, when the post-Lunar New Year traditional surge in …

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China’s Booming PE Demand Versus Risk From Falling Crude

By John Richardson

CHINA’S PE import growth remains remarkably strong, as the above chart indicates. The May data show that as global supply across all three grades significantly increases this year, with LLDPE and LDPE seeing the biggest increases, China …

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US Govt Policy, Weaker China Indicate Further Oil Price Decline

By John Richardson

OIL markets have reached an important tipping point as the bulls and the bears try to exert decisive influence.

There is resistance from the bulls which helps to explains why, after last week’s collapse in oil prices, …

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Tumbling Oil Prices: Implications For Asian Polyethylene

By John Richardson

DON’T say that I didn’t warn you. Oil prices now look much more likely to hit my forecast of $35//bbl, or lower, by Q4. Such is the downward momentum right now in crude markets that it is …

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Oil Prices Falling Towards $35 On US Supply, China Demand

WTI continues its journey towards a possible $35/bbl by Q4 of this year on rising US shale-oil production and a slight slowdown in the Chinese economy with big implications for global economic growth. And $25/bbl or lower crude in 2018 …

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China Plans 13 New Crackers In Move Towards PE Self-Sufficiency

By John Richardson

DETAILS are emerging of what could be as many as 13 new crackers in China that would all be on-stream very probably by 2025. I originally thought only around ten new crackers would be built by that …

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China Moves Towards Commodity Grade PE Self-Sufficiency By 2025

By John Richardson

THE argument I’ve been making for a couple of years now is that the history of petrochemicals in China suggests a constant drive towards much greater self-sufficiency. No value chain is immune, I have kept contending.

The …

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