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More Evidence That US Shale Oil Is The New “Swing Producer”

By  John Richardson

SICK today with a bad cold – hence this very short  post. Will, hopefully, be back in full  action, though, later today or tomorow

Meanwhile, here is some more  background reading, which underlines myy argument that shale …

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Your Seven-Point Guide To H2 2015 Oil Prices

By John Richardson

BEFORE you get carried away with the wholly misguided notion that we have entered into a “new normal” of oil prices in the region of $60-80 a barrel for the rest of this year, see below for …

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US Fed Reinvents 19th Century Boom And Boost Oil Markets

By John Richardson

ONE way of looking at the world is that central bankers know exactly what they are doing as they are Masters of the Universe.

These bankers have excellent degrees and doctorates from top universities bursting out their …

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China To Stop Importing Chemicals As It Exports New Technologies

By John Richardson

LAST Friday I discussed how, even without the impact of demographics on demand, it is mathematically impossible to fit one two billion into two billion.

Now bear with me for a few minutes. The themes I discussed …

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Oil Price Rally Built On Very Fragile Ground

By John Richardson

OIL prices rallied yesterday on an unexpected fall in inventories at Cushing in the US to 61.7 million barrels for the week ending 24 April (see the above chart). This was a decline of 514,000 barrels over …

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European Petchems: Necessity is Again The Mother Of Invention

By John Richardson

WHEN has a European cracker gone beyond its useful life? Forty or 50 years? Or maybe if you spend the right amount of money, it can last for a great deal longer.

Devoting enough ingenuity and capital …

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Oil Price Chaos: What It Means For The Planning Process

By John Richardson

FIRST of all, we were told that $100 a barrel, or thereabouts, was the natural price for oil.

And then we were told this after the price collapse: “Not to worry, this is just a temporary supply …

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China Would Be The Only Winner From A Price War

By John Richardson

IT IS dangerously wrong to still think of China as just a cheap, copycat low-value manufacturing nation. Yes, cheap, agreed, and to begin with, as was the case with the US, it has copied other countries’ technologies.…

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Oil Markets In One Word: China

By John Richardson

A COMMENT I have heard so many times over the last two months is that once oil prices settle down, China’s petrochemicals buyers will have to come back in large numbers in order to replenish what must …

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China Polyethylene: Three Predictions For 2015

By John Richardson

THE  chart  below serves as an excellent illustration of the big shift in consensus thinking about China’s overall economy, as it shows that:…

PE imports surged in January on the belief that China would “blink” – and

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