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OPEC, Human Nature And A $55 Brent Forecast

By John Richardson

HERE is a quote for you: “Everything that can be counted does not necessarily count; everything that counts cannot necessarily be counted.”

This supports the argument we have been making over the last two months that human …

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Crude Oil: How To Avoid A 2015 Budget Disaster

By John Richardson

IF I knew the outcome of today’s crucial OPEC meeting in Vienna well, of course, I wouldn’t have to write this blog post to make a living.

But what I do know is that oil markets, now …

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US Polyethylene’s Weak Pricing Power

By John Richardson

HERE is the thing: Petrochemicals pricing for just about every product in every region is usually pretty much set by crude oil and yet in the US, the correlation between polyethylene (PE) pricing and oil has been …

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Saudi Arabia Can Withstand Years Of Lower Oil Prices

By John Richardson

QUITE a common argument out there is that if and when higher cost US shale oil production shuts down, oil prices will start creeping up again  – and they will soon reach close to $100 a barrel …

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Global Polyethylene: A Painful Balancing Act

By John Richardson

HERE are a few important facts about polyethylene (PE):…

China accounted for 30%, or 2.35m tonnes , of global imports of linear low-density PE (LLDPE) in 2013 (see the above chart).
It accounted for 43% of high-density

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China Polyethylene: What To Tell Your Boss

 

 

By John Richardson

YOU are a junior researcher working for a global polyethylene (PE) producer.  This is your opportunity to help change “group thinking” and so greatly improve your career prospects.

It is not going to be easy, …

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US Petrochemicals: The Way Forward

By John Richardson

ANYBODY out there prepared to make a guess? How long are these fantastic earnings for US petrochemicals companies in the key polyolefins space going to last? Six months, 12 months, 18 months or perhaps even longer?

The …

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Ten Reasons Why US Petrochemicals Should Think Again

By John Richardson

IT is incredibly hard to “stare a gift horse in the mouth” when your share options have soared in value and you annual bonuses, based on your company’s record-breaking profitability, have been nothing short of fantastic for …

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European Petrochemicals: Making Money Despite Deflation

By John Richardson

THE European petrochemicals industry has done staggeringly well since 2008 thanks to operating rate discipline, skillful inventory management and feedstock flexibility – for example, the INEOS and SABIC initiatives to import low cost ethane from the US.…

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Coming To Terms With Global Deflation

By John Richardson

YOU used to be able to take, say, a World Bank report on GDP growth forecasts, plug that into your spread sheet, look at low per capita consumption of chemicals and polymers in the developing world and …

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