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China Govt Policy To Shape Petchems Demand, Pricing In 2018

By John Richardson

NAPHTHA feedstock costs are on the way up, which is of course the result of higher crude prices. So far this year, the naphtha cost for Asian steam cracker operators has averaged $479/tonne CFR China. But our …

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Measuring Crude Prices And Asian Petchems Profitability

By John Richardson

YESTERDAY I posted this slide on LinkedIn, in response to a lot of concern amongst the more than 150 or so delegates at the 5th ICIS Asian Polyolefins Conference in Bangkok about the impact of rising crude …

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Global Economy Is Less Able To Withstand A New Oil Price Shock

By John Richardson

HISTORY has a tendency to move very slowly, inching forward incrementally, and then all of a sudden a flurry of events over an incredibly short space of time can change everything. This is where we are today.…

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Asian Polyethylene Producers: What You Must Do Now $70 Crude Is More Likely

By John Richardson

THE facts on the ground in global crude markets have shifted even further in just two days. Now it seems more likely that oil prices will rise to $70 a barrel or above in Q1 of next …

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Crude Oil Prices In 2018: Impact On Naphtha-Based Polyethylene

 

By John Richardson

I WILL explain the full significance of the above charts for the Asian and global polyethylene (PE) industries later on this is post.

In short here, though, a great deal hinges on next year’s oil prices, …

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Benefits, Risks Of Petronas/Aramco Deals Serving As Template

By John Richardson

THE PETRONAS and Saudi Aramco joint ventures in the RAPID refining-to-petrochemicals project in Malaysia may serve as a template for further “win/win deals”. Whilst these deals will substantially benefit the companies and countries involved, there are broader …

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How US Polyethylene Exports To China Could Come To A Halt

By John Richardson

THE US has abundant shale gas reserves that have in effect been solidified into new polyethylene (PE) capacity, which is largely for export as this is a cheap way of shipping ethane.

If you subscribe to the …

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Threat To US Polyethylene From President Trump’s Iran Decision

By John Richardson

THE geopolitical and economic relationship between China and Iran was already very strong even before Donald Trump decertified the Iranian nuclear deal. Now, though, Iran and China could draw even closer. This could pose a major threat …

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Rising Trade Tensions Could Threaten US Petchems Exports

By John Richardson

THE Trump administration is holding out against a capital increase for the World Bank unless the bank reforms the way that it lends money to China, according to the FT.

China is the World Bank’s biggest borrower. …

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How China Will Help South Asia Maximise Its Demographic Dividend….

….as the OBOR region, which includes South Asia, pushes towards complete petrochemicals self-sufficiency

By John Richardson

SOUTH ASIA (India, Bangladesh, Nepal, Pakistan and Sri Lanka) is seeing around 1m people join its workforce every month, with this potential demographic dividend …

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