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How To Battle For Value In Oversupplied Markets

By John Richardson

FOR the moment all is good, as the chart above illustrates, which details the premiums that C6 metallocene-grade linear-low density (LLDPE) have enjoyed over standard commodity grade C4 LLDPE in the key China market.

The October 2010 …

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China’s Oil Markets: One Example Of A World Turned On Its Head

By John Richardson

The more oil that China imported the more it was becoming a middle class country by Western standards, was the old argument.

All of us should now understand that the China middle class story was nothing more …

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Central Banks: 672 Failed Interest Rate Cuts And Counting

By John Richardson

THE world’s top 50 central banks have cut interest rates at least 672 times since the Lehman Bros crisis  – perhaps 673 if you include yesterday’s decision by the Bank of England to lower the UK’s cost …

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Oil Below $30, Trade Barriers Etc: Implications for US Polyethylene

By John Richardson

FOUR years ago it seemed like an absolute “no brainer”.

Just about everyone thought that China’s economy was going to expand at double digit annual rates, virtually forever.

You also had the surge in ethane availability in …

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Oil Prices, Chemicals Markets Face Steep Declines

By John Richardson

THERE are three things you need to know about today’s global chemicals markets:…

Oil prices are now retreating back to quite probably below $30/bbl, and so of course there will be a chemicals destocking process.
But the

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China’s Gasoline Export Surge Was Entirely Predictable

By John Richardson

WHEN it first became apparent earlier this year that China was aggressively expanding diesel exports, we were told not to worry as this was said to merely reflect the replacement of China’s old economy with its new …

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Brexit: Global Short And Long Term Implications

By John Richardson

IT IS clear that the Remain campaigners were not exaggerating the short term impact of a successful Leave vote during the EU referendum campaign. They have instead very probably underestimated the immediate effect on the UK and …

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Supercycle1

Britain’s EU Exit Vote Reflects Lack of Trust In Expert Opinion

 

By John Richardson

MOST politicians, central bank governors, economists and business leaders told everyone that there was no way that the US housing market could drag the world into a global financial crisis.

Then we were told that China’s …

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Brexit, Other Uncertainties Undermine Seasonal Pricing Confidence

By John Richardson

FOR many, many years, seasonality has been a great guide to short term pricing patterns in Asian chemicals and polymer markets.

Take high-density polyethylene (HDPE) injection grade as just one example, which is used to make a …

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China Reformers Regain The Upper Hand

By John Richardson

THE above chart indicates that the reformers have regained influence in China:…

Whilst new loans from state-owned banks in May beat analysts’ expectations by a big distance, total social financing (TSF), which is the measure of all

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