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The Chemicals “Recovery”: Seeing Through The Flawed Logic

By John Richardson

AROUND 90% or more of the price movements in most chemicals and polymers are tied to crude oil.

Add to that the pick-ups in buying than can occur from time to time, based on supply and demand …

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European Petchems: Necessity is Again The Mother Of Invention

By John Richardson

WHEN has a European cracker gone beyond its useful life? Forty or 50 years? Or maybe if you spend the right amount of money, it can last for a great deal longer.

Devoting enough ingenuity and capital …

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Rising US Oil Supply And How Innovation Never Stands Still

By John Richardson

NECESSITY is the mother of new inventions, and also of innovations that make improvements on old inventions.

When, for example, oil and gas prices were sky-high in the US, this prompted the late and great George Mitchell …

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Why Getting It Wrong Really, Really Matters Today

By John Richardson

It is never easy to admit you are wrong because of the loss of “face” (and for me “face” is just as much an issue in the West as it is in Asia. It just presents itself …

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Just “Black Swans” That We Can’t Predict? Nonsense

By John Richardson

HERE is a list of just a few recent what were are told were “Black Swan” events:…

The Lehman Bros-triggered global financial crisis.
China’s 2008-2013 economic stimulus package.
Last year’s collapse in oil prices.
China’s economic and

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Petrochemicals And The End Of The Commodities Supercyle

By John Richardson

YESTERDAY I suggested that a “permanent study group” should be established by the US petrochemicals industry, and very probably industries in other regions, that would focus solely on all the evolving implications of the New Normal.

So …

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Oil Price Chaos: What It Means For The Planning Process

By John Richardson

FIRST of all, we were told that $100 a barrel, or thereabouts, was the natural price for oil.

And then we were told this after the price collapse: “Not to worry, this is just a temporary supply …

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US Petchems: Victim Of A Black Swan? What Black Swan?

 

By John Richardson

JIM Gallogly, the former CEO of LyondellBasell, has advised US petrochemicals companies to “think very, very hard” about new investments.

“Some of you simply are going to be too late. And you need to recognise where …

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Oil Supply Rising On Efficiency Gains, Govt Policy

By John Richardson

FOR most of the time from 2009 until the end of H1 2014, understanding what was going on in petrochemicals markets was pretty easy.

The price of oil was stable in the region of $100 a barrel …

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US Fed Cannot Solve Deflationary Crisis It Has Created

 

By John Richardson

ALL eyes will be on the precise detail of the statement the US Fed issues after its latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which takes place today and tomorrow (March 17-18).

Many analysts think that …

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