Archive | Oil & Gas RSS feed for this section

More Evidence That US Shale Oil Is The New “Swing Producer”

By  John Richardson

SICK today with a bad cold – hence this very short  post. Will, hopefully, be back in full  action, though, later today or tomorow

Meanwhile, here is some more  background reading, which underlines myy argument that shale …

Continue Reading

Your Seven-Point Guide To H2 2015 Oil Prices

By John Richardson

BEFORE you get carried away with the wholly misguided notion that we have entered into a “new normal” of oil prices in the region of $60-80 a barrel for the rest of this year, see below for …

Continue Reading

US Fed Reinvents 19th Century Boom And Boost Oil Markets

By John Richardson

ONE way of looking at the world is that central bankers know exactly what they are doing as they are Masters of the Universe.

These bankers have excellent degrees and doctorates from top universities bursting out their …

Continue Reading

Why The New Belief In Oil-Price Stability Is Wrong

By John Richardson

THE new consensus view on oil prices,  based on my discussions with many delegate on the side lines of this year’s Asia Petrochemical Industry Conference (APIC) in Seoul, South Korea, seems to run roughly as follows:…

OK,

Continue Reading

How 3D Printing Means No Repeat Of China’s Growth Story

By John Richardson

AS you can see from the above chart, China’s percentage share of the global polypropylene (PP) market has risen from 15% of consumption in 2000 to 33% in 2014. During the same period, however, India’s share of …

Continue Reading

China To Stop Importing Chemicals As It Exports New Technologies

By John Richardson

LAST Friday I discussed how, even without the impact of demographics on demand, it is mathematically impossible to fit one two billion into two billion.

Now bear with me for a few minutes. The themes I discussed …

Continue Reading

Oil Price Rally Built On Very Fragile Ground

By John Richardson

OIL prices rallied yesterday on an unexpected fall in inventories at Cushing in the US to 61.7 million barrels for the week ending 24 April (see the above chart). This was a decline of 514,000 barrels over …

Continue Reading

China 19% PP Production Increase Should Be No Surprise

By John Richardson

THE chart above should come as no surprise whatsoever to anybody in the global polypropylene (PP) business.

Here is why:…

Many of China’s new PP plants are coal-based and so are located in inland provinces where job

Continue Reading

The Chemicals “Recovery”: Seeing Through The Flawed Logic

By John Richardson

AROUND 90% or more of the price movements in most chemicals and polymers are tied to crude oil.

Add to that the pick-ups in buying than can occur from time to time, based on supply and demand …

Continue Reading

European Petchems: Necessity is Again The Mother Of Invention

By John Richardson

WHEN has a European cracker gone beyond its useful life? Forty or 50 years? Or maybe if you spend the right amount of money, it can last for a great deal longer.

Devoting enough ingenuity and capital …

Continue Reading