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China To Drive 55% Of Global Polyethylene Growth In 2007-2017….

.…Major risks ahead from this over-dependence on China

 

By John Richardson

FOLLOWING on from my post on Friday, which showed almost exactly the same story for polypropylene (PP), see the above chart detailing the importance to the global polyethylene …

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China Drives 58% Of Global PP Growth, So What’s Your Plan B?

By John Richardson

THIS IS a great example of putting most of your eggs in one basket! Polypropylene (PP) shareholders are entitled to ask what Plan B is if China can no longer deliver as much as 58% of the …

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China Growth Slows On Collapse In Shadow Bank Financing

By John Richardson

YOU should print-off the above chart and stick it on your chemicals company boardroom wall. From fellow blogger Paul Hodges, it shows the collapse in credit issued via China’s shadow banking system.

It is the shadow banking …

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Life Cycle Of Plastics Packaging Demand And Internet Sales

By John Richardson

THERE is a huge amount of excitement out there right now about booming internet sales and how this also boosting packaging demand and so sales of polymers such as polyethylene (PE), polypropylene and polystyrene.

China is, not …

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China PP Market Outlook for H2 And 2018

By John Richardson

AS IS the case with polyethylene (PE), China’s polypropylene (PP) market continues to catch up with the underlying realities of demand growth.

If you recall, in Q1 of this year PP net imports (imports minus exports) grew …

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China’s PE Imports: Recycling Ban Adds To Uncertainty

By John Richardson

FOR the time being at least, the year-on-year growth in China’s polyethylene (PE) net imports (imports minus exports) has fallen.

In January-May 2017, net imports were up by no less than 19%. However, the January-June increase is …

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China: Real Story On Lending Says Slowdown Still On The Way

By John Richardson

THERE was a lot of unhelpful and distracting noise surrounding the release of China’s official year-on-year H1 GDP growth that came in at an unexpectedly strong 6.9%.

Equally misleading was the pick-up in June total social financing …

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China PP Demand Surprises On The Upside, But Oil Threat Remains

By John Richardson

CHINA’S PP market, provided oil prices don’t further collapse, seems to be pretty close to the end of a destocking cycle that stretches back to February of this year, when the post-Lunar New Year traditional surge in …

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US Govt Policy, Weaker China Indicate Further Oil Price Decline

By John Richardson

OIL markets have reached an important tipping point as the bulls and the bears try to exert decisive influence.

There is resistance from the bulls which helps to explains why, after last week’s collapse in oil prices, …

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Tumbling Oil Prices: Implications For Asian Polyethylene

By John Richardson

DON’T say that I didn’t warn you. Oil prices now look much more likely to hit my forecast of $35//bbl, or lower, by Q4. Such is the downward momentum right now in crude markets that it is …

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