Archive | Olefins RSS feed for this section

Asia’s Petchems Decline: Reject Tried And Trusted Analysis

By John Richardson

ASIA’S petrochemicals traders and producers have on the whole done fantastically well over the last 20 years by sticking with tried-and-trusted ways of assessing markets.

It is very tempting, therefore, to think that today’s weak demand will …

Continue Reading

September 2008: How History Is Repeating Itself

By John Richardson

WE know that weak growth in China, Europe and the US will have a major negative impact on the global economy in 2015.

But does this really mean a new global financial crisis? Won’t the world’s economy …

Continue Reading

Chemicals Demand Is Not Going To Return To Normal

By John Richardson

EUROPEAN cracker operators are rushing to snap-up naphtha prices before prices rise again, reports my colleague Nigel Davis, in another of his excellent Insight articles.

“The lower crude price seems to be driving downstream demand. Europe’s crackers …

Continue Reading

US Polyethylene’s Weak Pricing Power

By John Richardson

HERE is the thing: Petrochemicals pricing for just about every product in every region is usually pretty much set by crude oil and yet in the US, the correlation between polyethylene (PE) pricing and oil has been …

Continue Reading

Global Polyethylene: A Painful Balancing Act

By John Richardson

HERE are a few important facts about polyethylene (PE):…

China accounted for 30%, or 2.35m tonnes , of global imports of linear low-density PE (LLDPE) in 2013 (see the above chart).
It accounted for 43% of high-density

Continue Reading

US Petrochemicals: The Way Forward

By John Richardson

ANYBODY out there prepared to make a guess? How long are these fantastic earnings for US petrochemicals companies in the key polyolefins space going to last? Six months, 12 months, 18 months or perhaps even longer?

The …

Continue Reading

Ten Reasons Why US Petrochemicals Should Think Again

By John Richardson

IT is incredibly hard to “stare a gift horse in the mouth” when your share options have soared in value and you annual bonuses, based on your company’s record-breaking profitability, have been nothing short of fantastic for …

Continue Reading

European Petrochemicals: Making Money Despite Deflation

By John Richardson

THE European petrochemicals industry has done staggeringly well since 2008 thanks to operating rate discipline, skillful inventory management and feedstock flexibility – for example, the INEOS and SABIC initiatives to import low cost ethane from the US.…

Continue Reading

China Capacity Closures? Stop Whistling In The Dark

By John Richardson

Measured in US dollars, the price of US imports from China has risen just by 4% over the last ten years, but measured in Yuan, it has actually fallen by no less than 20% (see our above …

Continue Reading

Thirty Reasons Why Ethylene Will Not Be Tight Until 2019

By John Richardson

THERE is a very common view out there that the ethylene cycle will tighten from next year until around 2019, when the big flood of new US capacity is expected to hit the market.

This is supported …

Continue Reading