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China: Estimating “Wealth Effect Decelerators”

By John Richardson

HERE is one of the many charts out there which show the awesome growth in chemicals and polymer consumption in China since 2000.

In this case, as you can, see the product is polypropylene (PP), where consumption …

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Starting All Over Again: A Ten-Point Guide For 2015

By John Richardson

AS chemicals companies go back to their budget plans for 2015, and redraw them entirely, here are ten things that they must take into account:…

The oil price is not going to return to $100 a barrel

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China Polyethylene: Do Not Assume January Restocking

By John Richardson

THERE is a lingering, and, I think, potentially damaging belief out there that this is just a particularly bad oil-driven destocking process and that very soon, China’s buyers will pretty much flood back into the polyethylene (PE) …

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US Petrochemicals Will Suffer From “The Blame Game”

 

By John Richardson

THE chat below provides some very instructive reading as it shows that:…

Since 2000, overall real consumption in US polyethylene (PE) has fallen from around 12.5m tonnes to 12.3m tonnes (real consumption is domestic production plus

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Asia’s Petchems Decline: Reject Tried And Trusted Analysis

By John Richardson

ASIA’S petrochemicals traders and producers have on the whole done fantastically well over the last 20 years by sticking with tried-and-trusted ways of assessing markets.

It is very tempting, therefore, to think that today’s weak demand will …

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US Polyethylene’s Weak Pricing Power

By John Richardson

HERE is the thing: Petrochemicals pricing for just about every product in every region is usually pretty much set by crude oil and yet in the US, the correlation between polyethylene (PE) pricing and oil has been …

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Why Should China Be Any Different From The US?

By John Richardson

THE complacent, yesterday’s wisdom about China is that it will remain a major importer of lots of petrochemicals for many years to come.

If you have already stuck your neck out to support a project that will …

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Global Polyethylene: A Painful Balancing Act

By John Richardson

HERE are a few important facts about polyethylene (PE):…

China accounted for 30%, or 2.35m tonnes , of global imports of linear low-density PE (LLDPE) in 2013 (see the above chart).
It accounted for 43% of high-density

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China Exports: Whatever It Takes To Boost Volumes

By John Richardson

HERE is a reminder of some key facts about the Chinese economy:…

Investment, in the form of local real estate, infrastructure and industrial capacity accounts for around 50% of the country’s GDP.
China’s total investment levels are

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Fed Policies Increase Emerging Market Poverty

By John Richardson

THERE are 2.8bn people – 40% of the world’s population – who live on $2-10 a day.

These people are “the fragile middle”, according to the Financial Times, as they are constantly in danger of falling back …

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