Archive | Polyolefins RSS feed for this section

Why Getting It Wrong Really, Really Matters Today

By John Richardson

It is never easy to admit you are wrong because of the loss of “face” (and for me “face” is just as much an issue in the West as it is in Asia. It just presents itself …

Continue Reading

Just “Black Swans” That We Can’t Predict? Nonsense

By John Richardson

HERE is a list of just a few recent what were are told were “Black Swan” events:…

The Lehman Bros-triggered global financial crisis.
China’s 2008-2013 economic stimulus package.
Last year’s collapse in oil prices.
China’s economic and

Continue Reading

Do Business On China’s Terms Or Do No Business At All

By John Richardson

THE above slide summarises where I think the future opportunities will lie for overseas polyolefins producers in the key China market.  This is taken from my  recent speech at the ICIS 4th World Polyolefins  Conference in Amsterdam.…

Continue Reading

Oil Price Chaos: What It Means For The Planning Process

By John Richardson

FIRST of all, we were told that $100 a barrel, or thereabouts, was the natural price for oil.

And then we were told this after the price collapse: “Not to worry, this is just a temporary supply …

Continue Reading

US Petchems: Victim Of A Black Swan? What Black Swan?

 

By John Richardson

JIM Gallogly, the former CEO of LyondellBasell, has advised US petrochemicals companies to “think very, very hard” about new investments.

“Some of you simply are going to be too late. And you need to recognise where …

Continue Reading

China Jan-Feb Polyethylene Imports Fall 22%

By John Richardson

CHINA’S polyethylene (PE) imports declined again in February, and are down by an average of 22% over both January and February of this year compared with the same period in 2014.

SOME people will tell you that …

Continue Reading

China’s Polyolefins Recovery On Shaky Ground

By John Richardson

CHINA’S polyolefins markets were in a muddle last week as a result of resilient offer prices for imported material versus a fall in pricing for domestic cargoes.

Domestic polyethylene (PE) prices were largely softer, but local distributors …

Continue Reading

China: Affordability, Affordability And Affordability

By John Richardson

THE charts below, provided by fellow blogger Paul Hodges, are of great value for any chemicals company looking beyond the current cycle of deflation and debt in China. If you want to be a winner in the …

Continue Reading

China’s Polyolefins Price Recovery: The Role Of Crude

By John Richardson

THE  above chart is a useful reminder of the role that crude prices has played in influencing the pricing of polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP) in Asia since January of last year (I have picked just two …

Continue Reading

Be Very Careful Of the $60-70 Oil “New Normal”

By John Richardson

THERE is an argument being made that the recent stability in oil prices will continue as crude enters a “New Normal” of $60-70 a barrel.

This type of thinking seems to have had an effect on petrochemicals …

Continue Reading