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Machiavelli’s “New Order Of Things”: Risks and Rewards

By John Richardson

IF you get it, you understand what is really happening out there, there is no guarantee that you will be successful as Machiavelli (see below right) – the great Italian Renaissance historian, politician, philosopher and writer etc. …

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China’s Yuan: Making Sense Of All The Noise

By John Richardson

LAST year nearly $1trn was moved out of China as rich people lost confidence in the direction of the economy. Much of this was moved if not illegally, then through stretching the rules to the very edge …

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Negative Interest Rates Will Not Work

By John Richardson

WE are entering an almost surreal world where Western central bankers, rather than admit they are wrong, have either already opted for, are in the case of the Fed are openly discussing, negative lending rates.

If the …

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Deflation Threatens Asia’s Ethylene-Polyethylene Link

By John Richardson

AS you can see from the above chart, ever since April 1997, when we first started providing price quotes for spot Northeast Asian (NEA) high-density polyethylene (HDPE) film grade, it has been spot ethylene rather than spot …

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Asia’s Ageing Populations: Challenges And Opportunities

By John Richardson

EVERYONE should know by now that China faces a demographic crisis that, unless addressed, guarantees much lower GDP growth for many years to come. This explains the urgency of economic reforms designed to escape the “middle income …

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China PP Exports Jump 38% On Jobs Drive

 

Polyolefins markets in Asia are not behaving in the way that they used to behave. For value-added analysis of these changes, and for price and margin forecasts for the region, contact john.richardson@icis.com for details of how to subscribe to …

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Too Good To Last for Asian Petchems? Yes

By John Richardson

IT has been a fantastic few months for the integrated Asian polyethylene (PE) producers as the above chart illustrates.

You can see that the average price for naphtha was $533/tonne CFR Japan in April. This compared with …

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Ageing Populations And Fitting Two Billion Into One Billion

By John Richardson

THE above chart is of absolutely critical importance for anybody who is serious about estimating both the strength and nature of future global demand growth for chemicals.

If you are not a serious analysts then, sure, ignore …

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Policymakers Have Failed The World

By John Richardson

WHEN the economic, social and political history of 2008-2014 ends up being written, there are two groups of people who are going to end up bearing a lot  of the blame for  the new global financial crisis. …

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The New Global Financial Crisis: Emerging Market Bonds

By John Richardson

EXACTLY how the new global financial crisis will gather momentum is becoming clearer by the day.

Greatly adding to this clarity was the latest Bank for International Settlements (BIS) quarterly report, which was released earlier this week.…

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