Tag Archives | 19th National Party Congress

Crude Drives Asian Polyethylene Spreads To Three-Year Low As 2018 Risks Build

By John Richardson

IN MARCH 2016 we gave three scenarios for crude-oil prices:

Collapsing Demand where we saw crude falling to $25/bbl on weak global demand that would make it impossible to repay much of the huge debts that had…

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China And Xi Jinping: The Five Big Challenges You Must Understand

By John Richardson

THE above slide, from my speech at this year’s Gulf Petrochemical Association Forum, is a summary of much of the analysis on this blog over the past 12 months. This is another of my print-out-and-keep guides. Please …

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China’s Pollution/Economic Campaign To Reshape Petchems

By John Richardson

I BELIEVE that China’s environmental crackdown will continue to disrupt petrochemicals and polymers markets for the next few years.

This is not a temporary phenomenon that will largely go away with the end of the September 2017-March …

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China’s Polypropylene Market: The Right Questions You Simply Must Ask

By John Richardson

On the surface, the above chart represents very good news for exporters of polypropylene (PP) to China. As you can see, our base case sees import volumes creeping up from around 3.9m tonnes in 2018 to 4.2m …

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China Govt Policy To Shape Petchems Demand, Pricing In 2018

By John Richardson

NAPHTHA feedstock costs are on the way up, which is of course the result of higher crude prices. So far this year, the naphtha cost for Asian steam cracker operators has averaged $479/tonne CFR China. But our …

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China’s Accelerating War On Air Pollution: Latest Implications For Petchems

By John Richardson

CHINA has steadily increased the intensity of its war against pollution over the last three years – especially the war against pollution generated by burning coal. This has major implications for the petrochemicals industry, which we will …

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Crude Oil Prices In 2018: Impact On Naphtha-Based Polyethylene

 

By John Richardson

I WILL explain the full significance of the above charts for the Asian and global polyethylene (PE) industries later on this is post.

In short here, though, a great deal hinges on next year’s oil prices, …

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Benefits, Risks Of Petronas/Aramco Deals Serving As Template

By John Richardson

THE PETRONAS and Saudi Aramco joint ventures in the RAPID refining-to-petrochemicals project in Malaysia may serve as a template for further “win/win deals”. Whilst these deals will substantially benefit the companies and countries involved, there are broader …

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China’s Xi: Squaring Circle Of Poverty Alleviation, Environment

By John Richardson

THE ONLY China that most foreigners have visited, including myself, is the southern and eastern seaboard provinces where all the talk is about booming poylolefins and other polymers demand on the rise in middle class consumption.

So …

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