Tag Archives | Babyboomers

Next Polyethylene Downcycle: Risk That History Will Repeat Itself

By John Richardson

WE can break the history of the global polyethylene (PE) business so far this century into four major phases, thanks to the above chart, which was compiled with the help of our excellent Supply & Demand Database:…

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Four Billion Tonnes of Plastic Waste And Counting: The Threat To Petchems Growth

By John Richardson

THE world will have produced a total of 6.9bn tonnes of the 11 synthetic polymers I’ve detailed in the above chart between 1978, when our data begins, and the end of 2017.

Using the assumptions behind an …

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Peak Oil Demand Opportunities For Petchems Are Being Over-Hyped

By John Richardson

THERE is a lot of excitement about new petrochemicals feedstock opportunities resulting from the approaching end of the road for the internal combustion engine, the rise of the electricity battery car and the related arrival of Peak …

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China, China And China: The Three Drivers Of Global Styrene

By John Richardson

THE DATA on global polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP) undermine the notion of booming emerging markets demand. In reality, it is only Chinese demand that has boomed and not the emerging markets as a whole. And when …

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China Drives 58% Of Global PP Growth, So What’s Your Plan B?

By John Richardson

THIS IS a great example of putting most of your eggs in one basket! Polypropylene (PP) shareholders are entitled to ask what Plan B is if China can no longer deliver as much as 58% of the …

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Stock Market Threats Far Wider Than Just North Korea

By John Richardson

LAST WEEK’S steep fall in global stock markets was of course the result of rising US-North Korea geopolitical tensions. Some $1 trillion was wiped off equity values. We obviously all hope that the geopolitical tensions will ease.…

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Oil Prices Falling Towards $35 On US Supply, China Demand

WTI continues its journey towards a possible $35/bbl by Q4 of this year on rising US shale-oil production and a slight slowdown in the Chinese economy with big implications for global economic growth. And $25/bbl or lower crude in 2018 …

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Brexit: Automation Could Replace Many UK Jobs

As immigration declines, labour costs are set to rise. Companies could thus shut down, leave Britain or invest in more automation if they decide to stay in the UK

By John Richardson

THE BRITISH town of Slough has an unemployment …

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US Economy Returns To Weak Growth On Demographics

By John Richardson

THE US is a deeply politically divided country to the point where the divisions are having a profound effect on consumer confidence. As the New York Times writes:

Among Republicans, the University of Michigan consumer expectations index …

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Western Central Bank Finally Agrees That Ageing Populations Matter

By John Richardson

FINALLY – for the first time – one of the major Western central banks is in agreement with what Paul Hodges and I have been arguing since we released our book in 2011 – Boom. Gloom & …

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