Home Blogs Asian Chemical Connections

Asian Chemical Connections

Asia’s Naphtha Crackers

By John Richardson ONE industry observer describes some of the cracker and refinery-petrochemicals projects in Southeast Asia (SEA) as “national projects”. In other words, their justification is not entirely on economics, but also about nation building and reducing import dependency. And so, as we discussed yesterday, perhaps some of these projects will be shelved when […]

Goldman Sachs Changes Its View On Oil

By John Richardson OUR blogs are awarding themselves a pat on the back today. The reason is that investment bank Goldman Sachs, the largest player in commodity markets, has completely reversed its analysis of oil markets. They now accept our view, and that of the blog we work with very closely with, Chemicals & The […]

BBC News Warns On China’s Demographic Crisis

A major new report from BBC News suggests that “China’s economic model is in danger” due to its rapidly ageing population. It reaches exactly the same conclusions as in our Boom, Gloom and the New Normal ebook. Chapter 6, published in November 2011 was titled ‘The Risks to China and India Growth’. Now, what was […]

As Oil Rises Demand Weakens

By John Richardson A barrel of Brent crude oil cost $88.49 a barrel in June. Yesterday, it was trading at $116.55 a barrel. In the intervening period the global economy has substantially weakened, most notably in the case of China, as the problems that have been identifiable since late last year have become widely recognised. […]

China’s Demographic Crisis

                      Chinese govt poster promoting the one-child policy       By John Richardson IF all you can remember is strong emerging markets growth, then it is easy to be misled into only building into your scenarios the notion that China and India are merely pausing for economic breath. Conventional wisdom remains that this is, decidedly, the […]

France’s Difficult Future

By John Richardson Francois Hollande, who has the won the French presidential election, talks about cutting the retirement age to 60 from 62 for people who have worked for 41 years. This is a handy slogan for an election campaign. But European pension liabilities suggest that people should be working until they are older, rather […]

Further China Evidence

By John Richardson FURTHER evidence of weakness in the Chinese economy has emerged via the polyolefins market. In an excellent Insight article, my ICIS colleagues Chow Bee Lin and Peh Soo Hwee say that China’s plastics processors are resisting additional price increases because their customers, the manufacturers of finished goods, are struggling. The combined retail […]

New Policies Needed To Restore Growth

Politicians seem to be floundering as they seek to restore growth to the Western economy. Their prescriptions swing between austerity and economic stimulus as they argue over what has gone wrong. But in chapter 10 of our Boom, Gloom & The New Normal e-book we argue that they are on the wrong track. They are […]

Oil Prices And Demand Destruction

By John Richardson THE danger that high oil prices pose to the global economy, and therefore, of course, petrochemicals demand, has been highlighted by a new report from HSBC. It makes the point that quantitative easing, which has led to investors fleeing a weaker dollar into commodities, is a major contributory factor behind the rally […]

Morgan Stanley Bullish Again

By John Richardson MORGAN Stanley has once again produced a very bullish forecast for China’s polyethylene (PE) market. The investment bank was famous for devising the SuperCycle theory in late 2010. It failed to take into account clear signs that 2011 was going to be a bad year. Version 2.0 of its bullish view on the industry assumes that 2011 was so […]

Jump to page: