Tag Archives | China economy

China’s Real Estate Crisis Was Entirely Predictable

By John Richardson

AN investment bubble can only remain stable if you pump ever-more air into the bubble. If you don’t continue to do this, then the bubble is in severe danger of bursting.

The warning signs started flashing red …

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Following In The Footsteps Of China Is Impossible

By John Richardson

THE chart above shows how China’s consumption of polypropylene (PP) rose from 4.6 million tonnes in 2000 to 19 million tonnes in 2014.

It also illustrates how, in the process, China’s percentage share of global PP consumption …

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China By Itself Is Not A Strategy

By John Richardson

SOMETIMES a bit of data is worth many thousands of words – and so my choice of chart for today.

It shows that in one major petrochemical, polyethylene (PE), China’s imports in 2014 continued to hugely overshadow …

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Stand Back And Think: Can This Oil-Price Rally Really Last?

By John Richardson

THE talk in oil markets right now is largely about falling US rig counts and how this has resulted in tighter supply.

But it is very important to note that this focus on the rig count is …

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China After The Lunar New Year: Your Five-Point Guide

By John Richardson

HERE is a five-point guide to what will happen in China after the Lunar New Year is over (most of China will be only holiday from 18-24 February):…

The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) now seems almost

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Collapse Of China “Carry Trade” Threatens A Yuan Devaluation

By John Richardson

CONVENTIONAL wisdom, as everyone should have discovered over the last 16 months, has a horrible habit of  being completely wrong.

Today, therefore, if anybody tells you this, “China might widen the band within which the Yuan trades …

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China January Data Concludes The Debate

By John Richardson

THE latest data from China further underlines what I have been arguing since early last year – that it is at the centre of a Great Unwinding that will have deep and lasting global economic consequences.

Here …

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Australia: This Is No Way To Run A Country

By John Richardson

TONY Abbott has survived an attempt to remove him as Australia’s Prime Minister.

Do you really think this will bring to an end the political instability that has resulted in four changes in PM since 2007? This …

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A Perfect World? If Only It Were So

By John Richardson

IN A perfect world everything always turns out for the best in the end.

And so quite a few people who argued that high oil prices were good for the global economy, as they said that expensive …

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China’s Damage Limitation: The Reserve Requirement Cut

By John Richardson

DAMAGE limitation is the motive behind China’s decision cut its reserve requirement  ratio (RRR) by 0.5% to 19.5%.

(The RRR is the amount of money that banks have to set aside against this lending, and so the …

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