Tag Archives | China economy

The New World Of Demand, Trade And Competition

By John Richardson

TOMORROW nearly always ended up being better than today for the polymers industry, thanks to the resilience of demand growth during the Economic Supercycle.

What also made life easy was the assumption that global free trade would, …

Continue Reading

China And A Breakdown In Free Trade: Scenarios For Petrochemicals

By John Richardson

MY blog post last Friday, on the threat to the petrochemicals industry of a retreat in global free trade, has gained a great deal of interest. This is good as this is an essential debate.

Today I …

Continue Reading

Brexit, Other Uncertainties Undermine Seasonal Pricing Confidence

By John Richardson

FOR many, many years, seasonality has been a great guide to short term pricing patterns in Asian chemicals and polymer markets.

Take high-density polyethylene (HDPE) injection grade as just one example, which is used to make a …

Continue Reading

Oil Storage, China Credit Threaten Crude-Price Rally

By John Richardson

MANAGE your naphtha and other raw material inventories incredibly carefully over the next few months, as you cannot afford to believe the hype that oil prices have definitively, without doubt, bottomed out.

This has to be the …

Continue Reading

China’s PP Import Decline: Did you See This Coming?

By John Richardson

THE smart people in the polypropylene (PP) business will have already adjusted their strategies in response to evidence, from 2009 onwards, that China was very aggressively expanding its PP capacities.

They would have tracked the rapid rate …

Continue Reading

The End Of The Economic Supercycle: What To Do Next

By John Richardson

THE above infographic explains the end of the economic Supercycle:

•During the 1980s/1990s, the BabyBoomers – the largest and wealthiest generation that the world has ever seen – entered the Wealth Creator generation (those aged 25 – …

Continue Reading

Just Look At China’s Lending Data. It Was Always That Simple

By John Richardson

YOU will be in the airport bookshop in a couple of years’ time, staring at shelf after shelf of books about why everyone should have seen this latest global economic recession/crisis coming.

What everyone will agree on, …

Continue Reading

China: Please Don’t Waste More Time

By John Richardson

SO much time has already been wasted. Remember that as early as November 2013, you should have started drawing up plans to deal with the new China. That was the point at which I first flagged up …

Continue Reading

Oil Prices 80% Likely Not To Return To Previous Levels

By John Richardson

In yesterday’s world the ongoing geopolitical tensions between Saudi Arabia and Iran would have resulted in a sustained rally in oil prices. But this rally lasted barely couple of days as a result of persistently high US …

Continue Reading

2016: Trade Tensions, Social Unrest And Deflation

By John Richardson

THE world by 2020 – as Paul Hodges and I discussed in Chapter 4 of our 2011 book, Boom Gloom & The New Normal – is going to look very different indeed from what most of us …

Continue Reading