Tag Archives | China economy

China Lending Bubble Adds 4.7m Tonnes To Polyethylene Consumption

By John Richardson

THE IMF produced a very interesting study earlier this month, in which it estimated that if it had not been for China’s giant economic stimulus programme the country’s real GDP growth would have averaged only 5.3% per …

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US Trade Agenda Threatens 49% Of US Polyethylene Exports

By John Richardson

WHICH President Trump will end up setting the final direction of policy? Will it be the President Trump who spoke off-script at a campaign-style rally in Phoenix, Arizona, this week or the President who a day later …

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US Trade Policy Has So Far Bought China More Time…

…..But any number of outcomes remain possible, which underlines the fact that we live in a world of elevated political risk. Chemicals companies must, as a result, build multiple scenarios for future economic growth and trade flows.

By John Richardson…

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China To Drive 55% Of Global Polyethylene Growth In 2007-2017….

.…Major risks ahead from this over-dependence on China

 

By John Richardson

FOLLOWING on from my post on Friday, which showed almost exactly the same story for polypropylene (PP), see the above chart detailing the importance to the global polyethylene …

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China Drives 58% Of Global PP Growth, So What’s Your Plan B?

By John Richardson

THIS IS a great example of putting most of your eggs in one basket! Polypropylene (PP) shareholders are entitled to ask what Plan B is if China can no longer deliver as much as 58% of the …

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China Growth Slows On Collapse In Shadow Bank Financing

By John Richardson

YOU should print-off the above chart and stick it on your chemicals company boardroom wall. From fellow blogger Paul Hodges, it shows the collapse in credit issued via China’s shadow banking system.

It is the shadow banking …

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China’s “Minsky Moment” And The Global Economy

By John Richardson

HYMAN MINSKY was an American economist who focused his career on studying the causes of financial crises. He developed what he called a ‘financial instability hypothesis” which was based on the notion that long periods of stability …

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Life Cycle Of Plastics Packaging Demand And Internet Sales

By John Richardson

THERE is a huge amount of excitement out there right now about booming internet sales and how this also boosting packaging demand and so sales of polymers such as polyethylene (PE), polypropylene and polystyrene.

China is, not …

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Failed Pursuit Of Inflation Creates Major Economic Risks

By John Richardson

BUILDING UP lots of debt isn’t a problem if it leads to inflation that then inflates-away the value of some of that lending.

And debt-induced healthy increases in inflation also show that all of that lending has …

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China’s PE Imports: Recycling Ban Adds To Uncertainty

By John Richardson

FOR the time being at least, the year-on-year growth in China’s polyethylene (PE) net imports (imports minus exports) has fallen.

In January-May 2017, net imports were up by no less than 19%. However, the January-June increase is …

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