Tag Archives | China exports

China’s September “Export Boom”. Are You Serious?

By John Richardson

WHEN something seems to be so obviously too good to be true, based on lots of contrary evidence, then it usually is.

And so here’s the thing:…

Nobody should take any serious notice of the 15.3% year-on-year

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China’s Bogus Export Boom

By John Richardson

CHINA’S strong export growth in July and August is widely viewed as fantastic compensation for weaker growth at home. It also viewed as a sign that the global economy has perhaps, turned a corner,

But now it …

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China Credit Squeeze Further Weakens “Real Demand”

By John Richardson

DESPITE the 26% increase in China’s polyethylene (PE) imports in Q1 of this year over the same period in 2013, “real demand” continues to weaken – i.e. the resin bought by end-users to actually make things.

The …

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China Drives Down Yuan To Protect Jobs

By John Richardson

WE first warned in December 2011 that as China’s economic reforms accelerated, Yuan depreciation was a strong possibility.

 And then in May of last year, we picked up the theme again by again suggesting that as growth …

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China’s Sandwich Generation Revisited

By John Richardson

THE sandwich generation in China, those too rich to qualify for social housing but also too poor to pay for ridiculously-overpriced private accommodation in the first-tier cities, is becoming increasingly disillusioned.

“We are really tired of claims …

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China Faces Poor Peak Manufacturing Season

By John Richardson

DEMAND for chemicals and plastics in Asia should be seasonally robust at this stage of the year, when Chinese companies typically prepare for the peak manufacturing season, but this isn’t happening in 2013, warned Paul Satchell, chemicals …

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China’s Leaders Stay The Course (So Far…..)

By John Richardson

Everything is still going to plan. As the chart above shows, China’s official bank lending is down by 16% in the year to date as the government rations credit to the big state-owned enterprises. The last thing …

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China PE Recovery Lacks Firm Foundation

By John Richardson

DESPITE a slight pick-up in China’s polyethylene (PE) prices over the last two weeks (see above chart), producers and traders remain gloomy about the immediate outlook.

“What has driven prices up is that new supply hasn’t hit …

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China’s PE Cycle Repeats Itself

By John Richardson

THE above chart shows that China’s polyethylene (PE) demand growth has been well below that of overall GDP for most of the years between 2006 and 2012.

This supports the argument that economic growth has been too …

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China Jan PMIs Tell Different Stories

Source of picture: Imaginechina/Rex Feature

 

By John Richardson

ONE can interpret last week’s release of January purchasing manager’s indices for January just about any way you like.

Thus, Reuters wrote on 2 February: “China’s official PMI released by the …

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