By John Richardson PERHAPS nobody should have been that surprised that China’s polypropylene (PP) market was weak in February and the first half of March. Here is why: · China saw its highest-ever monthly level of PP homo-polymer imports in January 2014 – 448, 000 tonnes, according to the New York-based trade data service, International […]
Asian Chemical Connections
China’s Changing Polyethylene Demand
By John Richardson ONCE people in the developing world start buying food wrapped in plastic packaging, they rarely switch back to food wrapped in paper, executives in the polyolefins industry keep telling us. They thus talk about a “base load” of permanent new demand as urbanisation increases across Asia, which is often accompanied by higher […]
China To Take A Big Stick To Financial Crisis
By John Richardson CHINA is facing a financial crisis that could put US sub-prime into the shade. “Between 2007 and 2012, the ratio of credit to GDP climbed to more than 190%, an increase of 60 percentage points,” said US funds manager, GMO, in a report. “China’s recent expansion of credit relative to GDP is […]
China Manufacturing Relocation Accelerates
Source of graph: Standard Chartered By John Richardson WORKING conditions matter as much as higher salaries for China’s emboldened manufacturing workforce, according to this article in the Financial Times. “As the number of available workers falls, factories struggle not only to find new hires, but also retain existing staff. A young and educated workforce […]
“Flabbergasted” By Weak Demand….
….In A Tale Of Three Markets. By John Richardson AS China introduces more measures to clamp down on an overheated property sector and the shadow-banking system, polyethylene (PE) traders regard this latest news cycle as yet another opportunity to go short. “It used to be that the trading business was about supply and demand fundamentals […]
Chemicals Demand Shift Will Not Be Smooth
By John Richardson ADIDAS recently announced that it is to close its only directly-owned sportwear factory in China. Many other similar factories could shut if Beijing sticks to its 12th Five-Year-Plan (2011-2015) promise to move up the industrial value chain. The Adidas decision is driven by rising labour costs, which are partly government policy designed to […]
China’s Unreliable GDP Data
By John Richardson THE economic slowdown throughout Asia became more apparent last week with the release of disappointing data, prompting interest rate cuts in China, Vietnam and South Korea. China’s key polyethylene (PE) market responded as trading volumes fell and sentiment weakened for the week ending 13 July, according to ICIS. Market participants, however, expressed […]
Cotton In Uncharted Territory
By John Richardson POLYESTER producers, and their raw-material suppliers, enjoyed a huge boost to their profitability between October 2008 and March 2011 when cotton prices increased by 468 percent from 40 cents/lb to $2.27/lb. This led to polyester being substituted for cotton, and helped inspire a big capacity build in purified terepthalic acid […]
North America Manufacturing Rebound
By John Richardson THIS fascinating slide from Accenture, in a new study that the consultancy is about to release on the rebound in North American manufacturing competitiveness, quantifies the steep rise in relative labour costs in China between 2001 and 2011. And this process is likely to accelerate as China attempts to narrow the […]
A Polyolefin Trader’s Perspective
By John Richardson Word for word, see below what an Asian polyolefins trader told us yesterday: “This year has been absolutely terrible, the worst I can remember in eight years in this business, and even worse than 2008. There is just no demand out there. “There was supposed to be a recovery after the Chinese […]
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