Tag Archives | china property bubble

China Reforms: The Global Implications

By John Richardson

IT can feel logical to assume that the fundamentals of the petrochemicals business in Asia haven’t really changed.

When you think about it, apart from a brief interruption in the region’s success story during the Asian Financial …

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Demographics Threaten China Property Collapse

By John Richardson

THE persistent weakness in China’s petrochemicals markets had mainly been caused by problems in the country’s property sector, according to many delegates on the sidelines of last week’s Asia Petrochemical Industry Conference (APIC) in Pattaya, Thailand.

Here …

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Running Away From Complexity

 

By John Richardson

TWO-and-half years ago, the blog was told of a struggling Shanghai shoe-repair shop owner who had mortgaged himself up to the hilt in order to buy three apartments.

“He has taken the risk because he assumes …

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China To Take A Big Stick To Financial Crisis

By John Richardson

CHINA is facing a financial crisis that could put US sub-prime into the shade.

“Between 2007 and 2012, the ratio of credit to GDP climbed to more than 190%, an increase of 60 percentage points,” said US …

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China Investment Lowest Since 2002

By John Richardson

THE chart above indicates the extent to which polyethylene (PE) price rises over the last few weeks have failed to adequately compensate for higher feedstock costs.

Last week saw prices edge up by a further $10-40/tonne, according …

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It All Depends On Your Time Frame

By John Richardson

HOW long a recovery lasts is always relative to your investment horizons.

For example, if you are a day trader in the Dalian Commodity Exchange’s futures contract in linear low-density polyethylene (LLDPE), a rebound might only need …

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Forty Five Minutes On China

By John Richardson

CHINA’S GDP (gross domestic product) growth could fall to only 6.6 percent this year compared with 9.2 percent in 2011, warned Patrick Chovanec, an economist at the Tsinghua University’s School of Economics and Management in Beijing in …

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Five Essentials For Planners

By John Richardson

POLYETHYLENE (PE) industry planners need to factor in the following as they prepare for 2012:

1.) Oil prices are causing demand destruction in the global economy. They could go higher due to the Iranian nuclear crisis. In …

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Resolving China’s Bad Debts

By John Richardson

IS China facing a bad debt crisis as serious, or perhaps even worse, than sub-prime in the US and sovereign debt in Europe?

Despite all the bland reassurances the blog keeps hearing from chemical industry executives about the …

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The Planning Process Gets Harder

By John Richardson

EARLIER this week we talked about the possibility that China might devalue the Yuan rather than allow it to further appreciate.

We have since been told by a senior chemicals industry source that this is exactly what …

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