Tag Archives | china property bubble

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Yuan Devaluation Needs To Be Considered

By John Richardson

The “beggar my neighbour” trade wars that many economists feared would erupt after the global financial crisis were delayed thanks to fiscal stimulus.

But now politicians will be under increasing pressure to erect trade barriers.

“We are …

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US Chemicals See End Of Profit Boost

By John Richardson

THE extent to which the US economy has become distorted in favour of the corporate sector was thrown into sharp relief by this article in the New York Times (the financial sector is another separate, but equally …

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China’s Widespread Inventory Problem

By John Richardson

THE extent of the inventory overhang in China has become more apparent thanks to a research note from Kunal Agrawal – Singapore-based refining and chemicals analyst with BNP Paribas.

Kunal’s note – based on a survey of …

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China Downside Continues To Surprise

 

By John Richardson 

THE statistics speak for themselves. For example:

*The full HSBC August manufacturing index for China, which was released last Friday, showed that manufacturing input costs were rising at their fastest rate for four months, suggesting that …

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Limited Help For China’s SMEs

By John Richardson

THE credit crisis that is limiting chemicals and polymer trade in China is continuing, even though local initiatives have been launched to help small and medium-sized enterprise (SMEs) with the central government indicating that more help could be …

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China’s Long-term Shift In Inflation

By John Richardson

THE odd chemicals trader who has gone long might well seek to talk-up his or her markets by claiming that the slowdown in China’s inflation rate is great news.

But nobody interested in anything beyond the sale of …

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This Is Not Merely A Rough Patch

By John Richardson

IT was interesting to read late last week about how certain chemicals analysts still believe that the big slump in the sector’s share prices might merely be a rough patch, possibly just a correction.

In this same excellent …

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Demand Weakness Dominates

By John Richardson

A CAREFUL reading of all the major ICIS pricing reports covering olefins, polyolefins, aromatics and their derivatives over the last few weeks reveals very few mentions of the phrase “peak demand season”.

This time last year, the …

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There Is No Going Back

By John Richardson

“IF we build polymer capacity in India the demand will come,” a very senior industry executive told the blog last year. He amplified this statement by explaining that greater availability of plastics would always stimulate strong demand …

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September Will Be A Cruel Month

By John Richardson

SEPTEMBER is going to be a cruel month when the West returns from the summer holiday period and the extent of damage to chemicals and polymer demand becomes more apparent.

In Asia, temporary supply constraints in polyolefins, paraxylene (PX) and …

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