Tag Archives | China rebalancing

China’s Auto Demand Growth: No Longer As Predictable

By John Richardson

WE used to live in a linear world where GDP growth was nearly always on the increase and there was a very close linkage between the growth in any overall economy and the rise in demand for …

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Malaysia’s Scary Investment And Spending Bubbles

Source: http://www.globalpropertyguide.com

 

By John Richardson

Will this time really be different in Southeast Asia? Everyone hopes so.

But the arguments put forward by economist Jesse Colombo back in January – about investment bubbles building up across the region – …

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Asia Ex-China: The Outlook For 2014 And Beyond

By John Richardson

IN a special series of blog posts over the next few weeks we will re-examine the outlook for the major Asian petrochemical producing countries, ex-China. The posts won’t necessarily appear every day, as important news events may …

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China’s Leaders Stay The Course (So Far…..)

By John Richardson

Everything is still going to plan. As the chart above shows, China’s official bank lending is down by 16% in the year to date as the government rations credit to the big state-owned enterprises. The last thing …

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China’s SMEs Continue To Struggle

By John Richardson

ONE of the reasons why China’s polyethylene (PE) demand growth has been below the increase in overall GDP for most of the years since 2006 has been the relatively weak performance of the country’s small and medium-sized …

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Everything Is Going To Plan

By John Richardson

So far so good – everything is going to plan.

The flash Markit/HSBC China Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for May fell to 49.6, slipping under the 50-point level demarcating expansion from contraction for the first since October last year and …

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Get Behind China

By John Richardson

THE blog is often accused of being pessimistic. We are not. We are just realistic.

It was realistic last November to anticipate that China’s new leaders would be dedicated to major economic reform. In fact, this was …

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China Hints At Yuan Depreciation

By John Richardson

LABOUR markets are tight in China and so on the surface there appears to be no great pressure on Beijing to attempt to export its way out of an unemployment crisis.

But what happens if, as we …

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China Petchems H2 Price Rally

By John Richardson

CHINA’S petrochemical prices might rally in the second half of this year, along with local stock markets, in response to the delayed impact of the big surge in bank lending that took place in Q1.

James Gruber, …

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China’s “Overwhelming” Overcapacity

By John Richardson

A HOPE being expressed by chemicals and polymer traders and producers the blog has spoken to this week is that the surge in lending in China during the first quarter will result in stronger GDP growth later …

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