By John Richardson I CONTINUE to worry that people are only paying attention to when the Fed will raise interest rates. As a result, they are missing the far bigger story, which is the slowdown in both developing and developed economies resulting from events in China. The good news is that this view is gaining […]
Asian Chemical Connections
Take Stock And Plan For the Post-New Year China
By John Richardson NOBODY involved in the Asian chemicals industry is likely to have been surprised by Saturday’s announcement that January’s official purchasing managers’ index (PMI) slipped into negative territory for the first time in more than two years. The reason is that many people involved in the business have seen disappointing sales volumes in […]
Adjusting Inventories To Lower China Growth
By John Richardson EXCESSIVE inventory building across a range of commodities in China, including petrochemicals, continues to worry the blog. One reason, as we discussed yesterday, might be that traders are in the midst of a liquidity squeeze as a result of the late June credit crackdown. They have therefore taken out further very-aggressive positions […]
China Credit, Commodities Bubble
By John Richardson China announced last week that its state-owned banks had lent Rmb1.07 trillion ($172m) in January, which was more than double the amount in December. Financial markets have taken as evidence that the economic recovery has gained momentum. But when you combine January-February lending for 2012 in order to get rid of the […]
The Attention Span Of Commodity Markets
By John Richardson PARTICIPANTS in commodity and financial markets sometimes appear to have very short attention spans. But they are merely doing their jobs by seeking to stretch out rallies as long as possible through claiming everything that was being discussed a few months, weeks or even days ago is suddenly invalid. (see the above […]
The Best Of All Possible Worlds
Source of graph: http://www.businessspectator.com.au/ By John Richardson “Candide, the classic novel of the great French writer Voltaire, is a satirical description of a young man who has been taught that ‘everything is for the best in the best of all possible worlds’,” wrote Paul Hodges in this blog post last week. Thus, we have […]
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