Tag Archives | copper

Australia: Nice Work If You Were Able To Get It

By John Richardson

BACK in the late 1990s, the blog held a discussion with an Australian petrochemicals industry executive. He described his country’s approach to free trade, or rather the lack of it, as “to put it politely, naïve, and …

Continue Reading

Irrationality And Staying Solvency

By John Richardson

JOHN Maynard Keynes, the famous economist and speculator ,  once said “the market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent.”

In other words, if you are a trader you can sit around for ages waiting …

Continue Reading

Adjusting Inventories To Lower China Growth

By John Richardson

EXCESSIVE inventory building across a range of commodities in China, including  petrochemicals, continues to worry the blog.

One reason, as we discussed yesterday, might be that traders are in the midst of a liquidity squeeze as a …

Continue Reading

China Commodities Rally About Protecting Existing Debt

By John Richardson

OVER the last few days we have focused on the increased risk-on trade in commodities, including petrochemicals.

But maybe the rallies we have seen  in products such as fibre intermediates and polyethylene (PE)  are mainly about traders …

Continue Reading

China Export And Import Data May Obscure The Real Picture

By John Richardson

CONFUSED? Perhaps, as was definitely the case last Friday, you shouldn’t be.

The thrilled reaction of financial markets to the release of China’s July export and import data needs to be put into the context of it …

Continue Reading

China To Grow at 3 Percent

By John Richardson

THE possibility that China’s economy may not expand as rapidly in the future as in the past is never discussed in public by resources-company CEOs, said an Australian-based stockbroker.

His comments ring true for petrochemicals, also. The …

Continue Reading
BasemetalsEconomistChartApril2010.bmp

Commodity Stockpiles A Risky Bet

 

By John Richardson

Inventories of copper, aluminium, lead and nickel have risen as prices for all these commodities have also surged, says this article in The Economist.

 

Source of graph: The Economists

 

Copper stocks total half a …

Continue Reading
hu.jpg

Falling China license plates a lead indicator?

Source of picture: Chinaenvironmentallaw.com

Talk around the water-cooler in Shanghai offices at the moment is the fall in the cost of a car-license plate in September to a lowest bid of Yuan 27,000 ($3,953) from around Yuan 36,000 in August.…

Continue Reading
china-street-market.gif

China borrowing from the future?

It’s easy to get caught up in the excitement over the rebound in the Chinese economy and miss underlying weaknesses which point to some major problems ahead.

To some extent, in a desperate effort to compensate for collapsing export trade, …

Continue Reading