Tag Archives | demographics

China And A Breakdown In Free Trade: Scenarios For Petrochemicals

By John Richardson

MY blog post last Friday, on the threat to the petrochemicals industry of a retreat in global free trade, has gained a great deal of interest. This is good as this is an essential debate.

Today I …

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Oil Prices, Chemicals Markets Face Steep Declines

By John Richardson

THERE are three things you need to know about today’s global chemicals markets:…

Oil prices are now retreating back to quite probably below $30/bbl, and so of course there will be a chemicals destocking process.
But the

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Brexit, Other Uncertainties Undermine Seasonal Pricing Confidence

By John Richardson

FOR many, many years, seasonality has been a great guide to short term pricing patterns in Asian chemicals and polymer markets.

Take high-density polyethylene (HDPE) injection grade as just one example, which is used to make a …

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US Water Crisis: Be Part Of The Solution, Not The Problem

By John Richardson

IT SHOULD be pretty obvious to all of us that there is a huge gap in the provision of basic needs in the emerging world. Just look, for example, at the some 2.3bn people who in 2015 …

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Demographics And Economics: We Haven’t Even Had The Debate

By John Richardson

JAPAN has seen two decades of deflation and rising debts. Everyone should now recognise that Abenomics have failed to resolve this crisis. Abenomics were always going to fail because you cannot print babies.

What a pity that …

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A Message To Davos: Why Populism Is On The Rise

By John Richardson

POLITICAL populism, or perhaps more accurately demagoguery,  is a major concern amongst the great and good who are gathered for this year’s World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland.

They are worried, according to the Financial Times, about …

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Asia’s Ageing Populations: Challenges And Opportunities

By John Richardson

EVERYONE should know by now that China faces a demographic crisis that, unless addressed, guarantees much lower GDP growth for many years to come. This explains the urgency of economic reforms designed to escape the “middle income …

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The Developing World: Getting Your Strategy Right

By John Richardson

IT IS just plain intellectually lazy, and, more importantly, very wrong indeed: You work for a petrochemicals company and have been asked by your boss to come up with a demand-growth estimate for the next ten years …

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How 3D Printing Means No Repeat Of China’s Growth Story

By John Richardson

AS you can see from the above chart, China’s percentage share of the global polypropylene (PP) market has risen from 15% of consumption in 2000 to 33% in 2014. During the same period, however, India’s share of …

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Ageing Populations And Fitting Two Billion Into One Billion

By John Richardson

THE above chart is of absolutely critical importance for anybody who is serious about estimating both the strength and nature of future global demand growth for chemicals.

If you are not a serious analysts then, sure, ignore …

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