Tag Archives | demographics

The Trickle-Down Effect….Again

By John Richardson

THE classic image of the high-school student flipping Big Macs has become out of date in the US, according to this New York Times article.

“Because of lingering unemployment and a relative abundance of fast-food jobs, older …

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German Politicians Head In The Wrong Direction

By John Richardson

IT took Germany’s politicians five weeks, including a final marathon 17-hour negotiating session, to agree on a “grand coalition”, points out The Economist in this article. 

The trouble is that, despite this massive expenditure of hot air …

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Australia: Nice Work If You Were Able To Get It

By John Richardson

BACK in the late 1990s, the blog held a discussion with an Australian petrochemicals industry executive. He described his country’s approach to free trade, or rather the lack of it, as “to put it politely, naïve, and …

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The US Needs A Plenum

By John Richardson

CHINA’S crucial November plenum has now finished and so far there are no details on policy decisions. All we have had is a brief communiqué, which includes key phrases such as “deepening reform” and “crossing the river …

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China’s Demographics: What Is Your Contingency Plan?

By John Richardson

DEMOGRAPHICS shape demand – everywhere, including in China, as we have been discussing since 2011.

Here are a few facts about China’s demographics challenge – from this outstanding Financial Times article by David Pilling – which chemicals …

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South Korea’s Demographic Challenges

By John Richardson

THE blog has been long on South Korea ever since its first visit in 1997.  Its economic achievements since the horrors of the Korean War are nothing short of amazing.

Bereft of natural resources, all it has …

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The Rebirth Of Naphtha Cracking

 

By John Richardson

Might cracking naphtha in Asia, Europe, and perhaps even the US, once again become so attractive that it starts to challenge the big advantage currently being enjoyed by cracking ethane?

Yes, perhaps. Opportunities could arise to …

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No Ethylene Margins Peak In 2016

 

By John Richardson

FORECASTS of European capacity closures and project delays and cancellations have led some financial analysts to the conclusion that there will be a peak in ethylene margins from 2016 onwards.

This will provide a few years …

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China’s Auto Demand Growth: No Longer As Predictable

By John Richardson

WE used to live in a linear world where GDP growth was nearly always on the increase and there was a very close linkage between the growth in any overall economy and the rise in demand for …

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European Demographics Challenge US Export Assumptions

By John Richardson

US feedstock advantages appear to provide an almost overwhelming case for a big wave of cracker and downstream investments, particularly in polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP).

In contrast, Europe is struggling with much-higher feedstock costs and low …

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