Tag Archives | Donald Trump

Why US-China Talks May So Easily Fail To Avert Trade War

By John Richardson

CHINA might still be in a race against time to achieve enough levels of innovation to escape its middle-income trap. This could mean that it has no choice but to reach a deal with the US on …

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US-China Trade War: Global Recession, Collapse Of Polyethylene Markets

By John Richardson

YOU have had more than 12 months to prepare for a global trade war that is becoming ever-more likely, almost by the day. This would lead to a new global recession given the shaky nature of today’s …

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Petrochemicals Markets Point To Synchronised Global Downturn

By John Richardson

IF you repeat something enough times, such as the “emperor  is wearing clothes”, lots of people begin to believe it. So is the case with the widespread idea that we are in the midst of an unshakeable …

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US-China Trade War Draws Closer: Impact On Petrochemicals

By John Richardson

NOTHING that has happened over the last 24 hours should take you by surprise. Your petrochemicals company has had ample time to prepare for the US-China trade war that has now become a much stronger possibility following …

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China Doubles Down On Pollution Clean-up: Consequences For Chemicals

By John Richardson

ECONOMIC GROWTH for the sake of economic growth was for so many years the No1 priority in China. It is hardly surprising, therefore, that there is a legacy of major environmental problems.

These include some 1.6m premature …

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US Polyethylene: Even Without Trade War, $6.2bn Of Sales In China At Risk

By John Richardson

AS THE number of exemptions from the new US steel and aluminium tariffs grow for Americas “friends”, the direct impact of the tariffs might end up being fairly minimal. So far, Canada, Mexico and Australia have been …

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Global Trade War: $12.4bn of US Petchems Exports At Risk

By John Richardson

THE CUMULATIVE negative effect on global GDP as more and more countries became involved in a trade war is estimated by the above table on the left, from a research paper by economists as the Australian National …

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China And US On Collision Course As Trade Tensions Build

By John Richardson

Yesterday, President Trump threatened to impose penalties on China for alleged abuse of intellectual property right rules. Below is the context behind way claims of abuses are likely to increase in the future.  This suggests that China …

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US Import Tariff Decision: Impact On Polyethylene And The Global Economy

By John Richardson

THE PROSPECT of a US-China trade war has edged closer as a result of President Trump’s announcement yesterday that the US will impose 25% import tariffs on steel and 10% import tariffs on aluminium. Countries hit hard …

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House Of Cards Waiting To Fall: Oil, Equities And The Economy

By John Richardson

HOW much of the rise in oil prices since June of last year has been down to the fundamentals of supply and demand versus the hedge funds taking out a record number of short positions?

We are …

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