Tag Archives | iron ore

China Lending Bubble Adds 4.7m Tonnes To Polyethylene Consumption

By John Richardson

THE IMF produced a very interesting study earlier this month, in which it estimated that if it had not been for China’s giant economic stimulus programme the country’s real GDP growth would have averaged only 5.3% per …

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China-led Global Downturn Could Again Happen In September

By John Richardson

WHEN the Americans and the Europeans come back from their summer holidays in September it seems quite possible that they will see history repeat itself.

It was of course from September 2014 onwards that commodities prices started …

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Global Deflation At Risk Of Returning On End Of China Commodities Bubble

By John Richardson

THIS time last year it was deflation that seemed to be the problem for the global economy. Despite many years of US Federal Reserve, European Central Bank (ECB) and Bank of England (BOE) etc. economic stimulus, consumer …

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Bricklaying In Australia And Oil Prices: Important Similarities

By John Richardson

THE bricklayer came around to my house three years ago, quickly surveyed the extent of the job, drew a sharp breath, and said, “It’s going to cost you at least Aus$4,000.” And that was after a four-week …

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Expect More Volatility, Uncertainty As China Reforms Continue

By John Richardson

MOST Asian stock markets took a hammering on Wednesday because of the sharp decline in Chinese equities.

So did commodity markets, as my colleague Nigel Davis pointed out in this Insight article when he wrote:

Copper prices …

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Rudderless Australia Drifts On

By John Richardson

THERE used to be two certainties in life that everyone in Australia could depend on. We all know that the first certainty was, and sadly still is, death. But the second certainty was China acting as the …

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China Peak Steel And Chemicals Demand May Have Arrived

By John Richardson

EVERYONE involved in the iron ore business must be very worried about the recent speech by the new chairman of the China Iron & Steel Association.

“Under the ‘new normal’ China’s iron and steel consumption has already …

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Too Late For Iron Ore, But Not For Petrochemicals

By John Richardson

YOU might be familiar with the phrase “putting all your eggs in one basket”. It is the kind of phrase that you learn at your mother’s knee, and yet CEOS seem to have forgotten what they were …

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Broad Commodities Sell-Off Threatens Petrochemicals

By John Richardson

IRON ore prices are now down by nearly 40% so far this year to a level not seen since September 2009.

As for crude oil, Brent has now dipped below $100 per barrel, for the first time …

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China Will Not Shut Down. It Will Instead Run Harder.

By John Richardson

EVERY $10 decline in the iron ore price knocks more than $2bn off the annual revenues of Vale,  Rio Tinto and BHP Billion and around $250m from those of Anglo American.

We can see a similar dynamic …

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