Tag Archives | middle-income trap

China’s 19th Party Congress: Stronger President Xi Good For Petchems Growth

By John Richardson

I SEE three Scenarios for Chinese economic growth, and so of course petrochemicals demand growth, in 2018-2025. See below where I detail how these three Scenarios would affect growth in demand for polypropylene (PP).

But first of …

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How China’s OBOR Will Re-Order Global Petchems Value Chains

By John Richardson

EVERY petrochemicals company needs to understand the above map and its implications for global trade flows over the next 20 years. Failure to understand and respond to what this map is telling you would be a very …

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China To Raise Ethylene Capacity By 71% In Major Self-Sufficiency Drive

By John Richardson

CHINA could raise its ethylene capacity by as much as 71% and its propylene capacity by at least 21%, according to my latest analysis of a major new wave of naphtha, ethane and LPG crackers. The above …

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US Trade Policy Has So Far Bought China More Time…

…..But any number of outcomes remain possible, which underlines the fact that we live in a world of elevated political risk. Chemicals companies must, as a result, build multiple scenarios for future economic growth and trade flows.

By John Richardson…

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China Drives 58% Of Global PP Growth, So What’s Your Plan B?

By John Richardson

THIS IS a great example of putting most of your eggs in one basket! Polypropylene (PP) shareholders are entitled to ask what Plan B is if China can no longer deliver as much as 58% of the …

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China’s Soil Pollution: The $1,000 Trillion Problem

By John Richardson

THE ESTABLISHED approach to dealing with soil polluted by chemicals waste involves washing the soil and treating it with bacteria. These were the methods used ahead of the 2012 London Olympic Games, reports The Economist. The cost …

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Reliance On Any China Polymer Deficit Will Not Work

 

By John Richardson

THE “last big man standing’, as polyethylene (PE) was described to me during my visit to Shanghai last week, is widely expected to remain in major deficit in China for the next decade at least.

As …

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South Korea’s Demographic Challenges

By John Richardson

THE blog has been long on South Korea ever since its first visit in 1997.  Its economic achievements since the horrors of the Korean War are nothing short of amazing.

Bereft of natural resources, all it has …

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China PE Imports: A Long-Term Outlook

 

By John Richardson

THE chart below is worth revisiting, and pondering again, as we attempt to assess the future of polyethylene (PE) exports to China.

In the case of the Middle East, as the chart shows, it has been …

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Southeast Asia’s Export Dependency

Source: Petroleum Institute of Thailand

 

By John Richardson

THERE is a lot of excitement about the self-sustaining nature of Southeast Asia’s (SEA) economy thanks to, for example, nine consecutive quarters of GDP growth of more than 6% in Indonesia …

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