By John Richardson ASIAN naphtha-to-polyethylene (PE) spreads collapsed by 80% in the first week of January compared with December last year because of the failure to pass on the rise in naphtha feedstock costs resulting from higher oil prices. In an update of the chart I’ve been running since late last year, what you see […]
Asian Chemical Connections
Crude Drives Asian Polyethylene Spreads To Three-Year Low As 2018 Risks Build
By John Richardson IN MARCH 2016 we gave three scenarios for crude-oil prices: Collapsing Demand where we saw crude falling to $25/bbl on weak global demand that would make it impossible to repay much of the huge debts that had been built up since 2008. This is the result of economic stimulus polices that we maintain […]
Crude Oil Prices In 2018: Impact On Naphtha-Based Polyethylene
By John Richardson I WILL explain the full significance of the above charts for the Asian and global polyethylene (PE) industries later on this is post. In short here, though, a great deal hinges on next year’s oil prices, with the possibility that there is more momentum left in today’s rally. And of course […]
Butadiene Set To Decline Further
By Malini Hariharan The drama continues in the Asian butadiene market. Bids this week are about $100/tonne lower than sellers’ price ideas, writes Helen Yan in an ICIS news report. Buying indications have dropped to $3,350-3,400/tonne CFR Northeast Asia. Butadiene prices appear to be going through another downcycle, reflecting the fundamentals of a market that it […]
India Chems Look For Govt Support
By Malini Hariharan The Indian government is being asked to give a fresh boost to the chemicals industry in the 12th Five Year Plan beginning from 1 April. A working group for the chemicals industry has detailed key measures that the government must take to ensure growth of 12% during the plan period (2012-2017). Top […]
China Set To Gain The Most From Inland Boom
By John Richardson LAST week we discussed how inland markets in China – which are booming thanks to government efforts to raise rural income levels – offer huge opportunities for petrochemicals producers. Here are a few further reasons to believe that it will be local rather than overseas producers which benefit the most. Beijing […]
PE Margins Lowest On Record
By John Richardson ANOTHER week has gone by with no evidence of significantly stronger polyethylene (PE) volumes in China. Rising labour costs, because of mandated government increases in minimum wages, and the shortages of labour post-Lunar New Year, are still making it difficult for plastic converters to run at full capacity. The recovery in pricing […]
Europe Markets Lure Asian Polyolefins
By John Richardson EXACTLY the same scenario is playing out in European polyolefin markets, as in Latin America and possibly the US, my ICIS colleague Linda Naylor reported last Friday. High polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP) prices in Europe have led to increased offers for re-exported material from China, according to Linda – our European […]
Honam’s next expansion
By Malini Hariharan Honam Petrochemical’s plans for Indonesia appear to be progressing. Company sources told ICIS news yesterday that a feasibility study is underway for a $4-5bn petrochemical complex in Southeast Asia with Indonesia the most likely location. The study is likely to be completed by early 2013. Meanwhile, Indonesia media quoted senior managing director […]
Weak margins hit earnings
By Malini Hariharan It is the results season and numbers posted so far confirm that the last quarter has been rough with depressed demand, weak product prices and firm feedstock costs affecting earnings. Siam Cement Group’s EBITDA for the chemicals division dropped 25% in Q4 from the previous quarter, while sales revenue declined by 5%. […]