Tag Archives | oil prices

New Global Economic Crisis: Timing Is The Only Doubt

By John Richardson

IT IS only a question of when rather than if there will be a further unwinding in all the global economic, social and political unbalances resulting from the end of the Economic Supercycle.

Sure, we might get …

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Central Banks: 672 Failed Interest Rate Cuts And Counting

By John Richardson

THE world’s top 50 central banks have cut interest rates at least 672 times since the Lehman Bros crisis  – perhaps 673 if you include yesterday’s decision by the Bank of England to lower the UK’s cost …

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Oil Below $30, Trade Barriers Etc: Implications for US Polyethylene

By John Richardson

FOUR years ago it seemed like an absolute “no brainer”.

Just about everyone thought that China’s economy was going to expand at double digit annual rates, virtually forever.

You also had the surge in ethane availability in …

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Oil Prices, Chemicals Markets Face Steep Declines

By John Richardson

THERE are three things you need to know about today’s global chemicals markets:…

Oil prices are now retreating back to quite probably below $30/bbl, and so of course there will be a chemicals destocking process.
But the

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China’s Gasoline Export Surge Was Entirely Predictable

By John Richardson

WHEN it first became apparent earlier this year that China was aggressively expanding diesel exports, we were told not to worry as this was said to merely reflect the replacement of China’s old economy with its new …

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Britain’s EU Exit Vote Reflects Lack of Trust In Expert Opinion

 

By John Richardson

MOST politicians, central bank governors, economists and business leaders told everyone that there was no way that the US housing market could drag the world into a global financial crisis.

Then we were told that China’s …

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US Economy: More Of The Same Will Not Work…

 

By John Richardson

US Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen’s solution for the failed monetary stimulus policies of the last seven years? More of the same, which is a further signal to investors desperate for yield that they have little …

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Brexit, Other Uncertainties Undermine Seasonal Pricing Confidence

By John Richardson

FOR many, many years, seasonality has been a great guide to short term pricing patterns in Asian chemicals and polymer markets.

Take high-density polyethylene (HDPE) injection grade as just one example, which is used to make a …

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China Reformers Regain The Upper Hand

By John Richardson

THE above chart indicates that the reformers have regained influence in China:…

Whilst new loans from state-owned banks in May beat analysts’ expectations by a big distance, total social financing (TSF), which is the measure of all

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German Bond Yields Go Negative On End Of Economic Supercycle

By John Richardson

OIL markets remain fundamentally long. There is little to support the notion that the recent price rally has anything to do with anything but confidence that US interest rates will be lower for longer than had been …

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