Tag Archives | oil prices

Stand Back And Think: Can This Oil-Price Rally Really Last?

By John Richardson

THE talk in oil markets right now is largely about falling US rig counts and how this has resulted in tighter supply.

But it is very important to note that this focus on the rig count is …

Continue Reading

A Perfect World? If Only It Were So

By John Richardson

IN A perfect world everything always turns out for the best in the end.

And so quite a few people who argued that high oil prices were good for the global economy, as they said that expensive …

Continue Reading

Global Economy: “When Elephants Fight, The Grass Suffers”

HERE are some very disturbing statistics:…

Over the last five years, US oil and gas companies have issued bonds and taken out loans that are together worth $1.2 trillion, according to data from Dealogic. This has created at least 200,000

Continue Reading

Don’t Bet On A Post-Lunar New Year Rebound

 

By John Richardson

THERE is a very risky theory that I have picked up in my conversations with Asian polyolefin industry players over the past few days:

Strong underlying demand growth in China, low stock levels held by the …

Continue Reading

Oil Prices: Did You Heed All The Warnings?

By John Richardson

THE $30 a barrel price of crude at or below which some Asian naphtha cracker operators could be forced to exit the business is an increasing possibility.

Here is why:…

This January’s stockpile of crude in the

Continue Reading
P1-BS532_CHINAG_16U_20150119220313

China: Counting The Cost Of Wrong Analysis

By John Richardson

VERY few people listened when I warned in November 2013 that China’s economy was about to enter a “New Normal” as a result of the biggest about-turn in economic policy that China had seen for at least …

Continue Reading

China Would Be The Only Winner From A Price War

By John Richardson

IT IS dangerously wrong to still think of China as just a cheap, copycat low-value manufacturing nation. Yes, cheap, agreed, and to begin with, as was the case with the US, it has copied other countries’ technologies.…

Continue Reading

Asian Polyethylene: Inventory Losses Threaten Survival

By John Richardson

HERE are some observations, from several discussions with market participants this week, about what is happening in China’s key polyethylene (PE) market:…

If the oil price stays at $40-50 a barrel then payment collection from local customers,

Continue Reading

Chemical Sales, Capital Spending In A Weaker Oil-Price World

By John Richardson

THE above chart shows the top 23 of the latest ICIS Top 100 ranking of global chemicals companies by sales in US dollars for 2013.

When the 2014 numbers have been fully compiled and released later this …

Continue Reading

Indonesia: Seize The Day

By John Richardson

IT WAS criminally wrong. Yes, criminally wrong. Financial speculators drove up the price oil to $100 a barrel and more, which forced developing countries to waste many billions of dollars on fuel subsidies.

This was money that …

Continue Reading