Tag Archives | oil prices

China’s Polyolefins Price Recovery: The Role Of Crude

By John Richardson

THE  above chart is a useful reminder of the role that crude prices has played in influencing the pricing of polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP) in Asia since January of last year (I have picked just two …

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The Long Term Average Price Of Oil Is $30 A Barrel

By John Richardson

OIL and petrochemicals markets have behaved from mid-February until today as if the world is about to return to the way it was in the first half of last year.

Here is the thinking behind this behaviour:…

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Be Very Careful Of the $60-70 Oil “New Normal”

By John Richardson

THERE is an argument being made that the recent stability in oil prices will continue as crude enters a “New Normal” of $60-70 a barrel.

This type of thinking seems to have had an effect on petrochemicals …

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Stand Back And Think: Can This Oil-Price Rally Really Last?

By John Richardson

THE talk in oil markets right now is largely about falling US rig counts and how this has resulted in tighter supply.

But it is very important to note that this focus on the rig count is …

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A Perfect World? If Only It Were So

By John Richardson

IN A perfect world everything always turns out for the best in the end.

And so quite a few people who argued that high oil prices were good for the global economy, as they said that expensive …

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Global Economy: “When Elephants Fight, The Grass Suffers”

HERE are some very disturbing statistics:…

Over the last five years, US oil and gas companies have issued bonds and taken out loans that are together worth $1.2 trillion, according to data from Dealogic. This has created at least 200,000

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Don’t Bet On A Post-Lunar New Year Rebound

 

By John Richardson

THERE is a very risky theory that I have picked up in my conversations with Asian polyolefin industry players over the past few days:

Strong underlying demand growth in China, low stock levels held by the …

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Oil Prices: Did You Heed All The Warnings?

By John Richardson

THE $30 a barrel price of crude at or below which some Asian naphtha cracker operators could be forced to exit the business is an increasing possibility.

Here is why:…

This January’s stockpile of crude in the

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China: Counting The Cost Of Wrong Analysis

By John Richardson

VERY few people listened when I warned in November 2013 that China’s economy was about to enter a “New Normal” as a result of the biggest about-turn in economic policy that China had seen for at least …

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China Would Be The Only Winner From A Price War

By John Richardson

IT IS dangerously wrong to still think of China as just a cheap, copycat low-value manufacturing nation. Yes, cheap, agreed, and to begin with, as was the case with the US, it has copied other countries’ technologies.…

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