Tag Archives | one-child policy

Why US-China Talks May So Easily Fail To Avert Trade War

By John Richardson

CHINA might still be in a race against time to achieve enough levels of innovation to escape its middle-income trap. This could mean that it has no choice but to reach a deal with the US on …

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US-China Trade War: Global Recession, Collapse Of Polyethylene Markets

By John Richardson

YOU have had more than 12 months to prepare for a global trade war that is becoming ever-more likely, almost by the day. This would lead to a new global recession given the shaky nature of today’s …

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US-China Trade War Draws Closer: Impact On Petrochemicals

By John Richardson

NOTHING that has happened over the last 24 hours should take you by surprise. Your petrochemicals company has had ample time to prepare for the US-China trade war that has now become a much stronger possibility following …

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China Doubles Down On Pollution Clean-up: Consequences For Chemicals

By John Richardson

ECONOMIC GROWTH for the sake of economic growth was for so many years the No1 priority in China. It is hardly surprising, therefore, that there is a legacy of major environmental problems.

These include some 1.6m premature …

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China And US On Collision Course As Trade Tensions Build

By John Richardson

Yesterday, President Trump threatened to impose penalties on China for alleged abuse of intellectual property right rules. Below is the context behind way claims of abuses are likely to increase in the future.  This suggests that China …

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Threat To US Polyethylene From President Trump’s Iran Decision

By John Richardson

THE geopolitical and economic relationship between China and Iran was already very strong even before Donald Trump decertified the Iranian nuclear deal. Now, though, Iran and China could draw even closer. This could pose a major threat …

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China To Raise Ethylene Capacity By 71% In Major Self-Sufficiency Drive

By John Richardson

CHINA could raise its ethylene capacity by as much as 71% and its propylene capacity by at least 21%, according to my latest analysis of a major new wave of naphtha, ethane and LPG crackers. The above …

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China: New Catch Phrase Backs Up Old Data

By John Richardson

OLD data doesn’t always go away. What instead sometimes happens is that people slightly adapt their old growth forecasts to suit changing events.

“The rapid growth of China’s service sector and its consumer-led economy” has thus become …

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Asia’s Ageing Populations: Challenges And Opportunities

By John Richardson

EVERYONE should know by now that China faces a demographic crisis that, unless addressed, guarantees much lower GDP growth for many years to come. This explains the urgency of economic reforms designed to escape the “middle income …

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China Polyester: Failure To Ask The Right Questions

By John Richardson

HERE is a historical account of what has gone wrong with China’s polyester industry:

Apparel and non-apparel manufacturers were first encouraged to back-integrate to polyester fibres production and then to purified terephthalic (PTA) as the central government…

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