Tag Archives | polyethylene

China’s Polyethylene Market: Three New Scenarios For 2018-2025

By John Richardson

THE above slide underlines the growing complexity surrounding China’s economy, politics, society,  environmental policies and trading relationship with the US. I’ve placed this complexity in the context of the implications for the polyethylene (PE) industry. The above …

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Plastic Waste Crisis: How Polymer Company Early Adopters Can Win

Being an “early adopter” is never easy because of cynicism and scepticism. But what choice do we polymer companies have? None, if they really want to protect their revenues.

 

By John Richardson

POLYMER companies will lose billions of euros …

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The Battle To Retain Metallocene Polyethylene Price Premiums

By John Richardson

THE ABOVE chart could be a sign of a long term trend where we see metallocene linear-low density polyethylene (LLDPE) price premiums over standard, or C4 grade, LLDPE film at lower levels.

We have already seen C6 …

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Asian Petchems Profits Could Test Historic Lows In 2018

By John Richardson

THE ASIAN steam cracker business has struggled to pass on higher oil prices as the above chart further underlines. As you can see, high-density polyethylene (LLDPE) injection grade spreads including selected co-products have slipped over the last …

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Asian Naphtha Cracker Spreads To Fall By 50% In 2018

By John Richardson

ASIAN naphtha cracker operators will see a 50% decline in average spreads, or differentials, between their raw-material costs and finished product prices in 2018 compared with last year, according to my forecasts in the above chart. This …

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China’s Plastic Clean-Up Threatens Polymer Growth Assumptions

Last week saw the release of an EU Plastics Strategy which aims to make packaging plastics 100% recyclable in the EU by 2030. China is also moving in the same direction, as I discuss below – and this doesn’t just …

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Struggling Polyethylene In 2018, Strong Profits Elsewhere

By John Richardson

THERE will perhaps be two headline directions for the global chemicals and polymers industries in 2018:

I believe that the global polyethylene (PE) market has a very good chance of moving from last year’s peak margins to…

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Asian Naphtha-PE Spreads Collapse By 80% As 2018 Challenges Build

By John Richardson

ASIAN naphtha-to-polyethylene (PE) spreads collapsed by 80% in the first week of January compared with December last year because of the failure to pass on the rise in naphtha feedstock costs resulting from higher oil prices.

In …

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US-China Trade Relations In 2018: Prepare For The Worst

By John Richardson

WE GOT away with it in 2017 by luck rather than design, as there is of course very little that petrochemicals and polymers companies can do to prevent a global trade war other than lobbying politicians.

Part …

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2018 Oil and Petchems: Risk Of Mistaking Apparent For Real Demand

By John Richardson

PERHAPS the most important recent single paragraph of analysis, in the huge volume of analysis out there about oil markets, was this from Nick Cunningham in a 24 December article on oilprice.com:

The [global crude] inventory surplus …

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