Tag Archives | S&P 500

Another Layer Of Trumponomics Risk: Equities Versus Real Economy

By John Richardson

THE TOP chart shows that global chemicals industry operating rates fell to just 78.3% in November, even though companies up down the industry’s value chain were building inventory ahead of expected New Year price rises.  This was …

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Please Be Careful Out There

By John Richardson

Quite often, a chart is worth many thousands of words. The above chart, from Bloomberg, shows the divergence between the soaring S&P 500 index and US macro-economic indicators.

The theory is that soaring equity values will be …

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High Frequency Trading dominates as markets crash

by Paul Hodges

The Chemicals and the Economy blog was almost alone at the end of April, when it launched the IeC Downturn Alert. Today, its fear that we are close to a global downturn has become mainstream.

As the …

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Chemicals “Spin” Will Continue

By John Richardson

THE reluctance of sell-side chemicals analysts to downgrade their forecasts should be severely tested by the Federal Reserve’s decision to downgrade its outlook for the US economy.

US GDP growth will now be only 2.7-2.9% in 2011 …

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Beware of the usual smoke and mirrors

Flying the flag for Q3…

Source of picture: etftrends.com

Yes, Q3 earnings season is almost upon us with the usual headline-grabbing improvements in carefully selected reported numbers.

What this season might tell us about the overall direction of everything is, …

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Futures, Recycling Behind China PE Mystery?

Picture: The China Daily

“I’ve given up trying to read the polyolefin market in China. I just can’t figure out what’s going on,” said a senior source with a major North American producer late last week.

“I keep returning to …

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