Tag Archives | US petrochemicals

Asian Naphtha-PE Spreads Collapse By 80% As 2018 Challenges Build

By John Richardson

ASIAN naphtha-to-polyethylene (PE) spreads collapsed by 80% in the first week of January compared with December last year because of the failure to pass on the rise in naphtha feedstock costs resulting from higher oil prices.

In …

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US-China Trade Relations In 2018: Prepare For The Worst

By John Richardson

WE GOT away with it in 2017 by luck rather than design, as there is of course very little that petrochemicals and polymers companies can do to prevent a global trade war other than lobbying politicians.

Part …

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Cheap Oil Raises Naphtha Cracker Over Investment Risk

By John Richardson

THE ABOVE chart shows that from January 2015 up until November of this year, the Asian naphtha cracker industry has been making a great deal of money.

The orange bars are the premiums in percentage terms between …

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Crude Drives Asian Polyethylene Spreads To Three-Year Low As 2018 Risks Build

By John Richardson

IN MARCH 2016 we gave three scenarios for crude-oil prices:

Collapsing Demand where we saw crude falling to $25/bbl on weak global demand that would make it impossible to repay much of the huge debts that had…

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Global Polypropylene In 2018-2025: What To Plan For

By John Richardson

THIS could be an excellent investment opportunity. Our ICIS Supply and Demand Database base case for Asian and global polypropylene (PP) operating rates sees the steady and steep climb that began in 2014 carrying on until a …

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US Trade Agenda Threatens 49% Of US Polyethylene Exports

By John Richardson

WHICH President Trump will end up setting the final direction of policy? Will it be the President Trump who spoke off-script at a campaign-style rally in Phoenix, Arizona, this week or the President who a day later …

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China To Drive 55% Of Global Polyethylene Growth In 2007-2017….

.…Major risks ahead from this over-dependence on China

 

By John Richardson

FOLLOWING on from my post on Friday, which showed almost exactly the same story for polypropylene (PP), see the above chart detailing the importance to the global polyethylene …

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China’s Polyethylene Market Faces Long Destocking Process

China’s polyethylene (PE) imports surged and domestic production saw strong growth in Q1. This occurred as the economy slowed down on reduced availability of credit and the pollution clean-up. Even if global  producers saw this coming, they had no other …

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New Petchems Business Model Based On Trading Blocs

By John Richardson

THE above chart should give every analyst who thinks low feedstock costs are by themselves guarantee of success in petrochemicals pause for thought:

US net polyethylene (PE) exports in 2016 were 5,000 tonnes lower than in 2015,…

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The Denial Simply Has To Stop

By John Richardson

THE old petrochemicals business model was so fantastically successful during the Economic Supercycle that it is perfectly understandable why companies and industry analysts are reluctant to even consider that it may no longer work. Why on earth …

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