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Too Good To Last for Asian Petchems? Yes

By John Richardson

IT has been a fantastic few months for the integrated Asian polyethylene (PE) producers as the above chart illustrates.

You can see that the average price for naphtha was $533/tonne CFR Japan in April. This compared with …

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Ageing Populations And Fitting Two Billion Into One Billion

By John Richardson

THE above chart is of absolutely critical importance for anybody who is serious about estimating both the strength and nature of future global demand growth for chemicals.

If you are not a serious analysts then, sure, ignore …

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The New Global Financial Crisis: Emerging Market Bonds

By John Richardson

EXACTLY how the new global financial crisis will gather momentum is becoming clearer by the day.

Greatly adding to this clarity was the latest Bank for International Settlements (BIS) quarterly report, which was released earlier this week.…

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China Reforms: The Global Implications

By John Richardson

IT can feel logical to assume that the fundamentals of the petrochemicals business in Asia haven’t really changed.

When you think about it, apart from a brief interruption in the region’s success story during the Asian Financial …

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China’s About Turn: The Seven Global Implications

By John Richardson

HISTORIANS will end up concluding that falling emerging market currencies and stock markets – the prelude to what could be a full-blown crisis –  is really about China and not about the US Federal Reserve. The Fed …

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“Fragile Five” Now “The Exposed Eight”

By John Richardson

IT used to be just the “Fragile Five” – Brazil, India, Indonesia, South Africa and Turkey.

But last week, the Financial Times, drawing on data and analysis from Schroders, added three more countries to the list of …

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Gas, Gas, And Perhaps Even More Gas

By John Richardson

THE global petrochemicals industry is stepping on the gas as it accelerates both capacity expansions and the restructuring of existing assets. Apologies for the pun.

In the US, of course, some 25m tonnes/year of ethylene capacity is …

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Grangemouth Viewed Through A Wider Lens

By John Richardson

THROUGH the narrow lens of stand-alone cost competitiveness, the threatened refinery and petrochemicals complex in Grangemouth, Scotland the UK, (see picture) can be viewed as having a very questionable long-term future.

For example, Britain’s refineries are viewed …

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China PE Imports: A Long-Term Outlook

 

By John Richardson

THE chart below is worth revisiting, and pondering again, as we attempt to assess the future of polyethylene (PE) exports to China.

In the case of the Middle East, as the chart shows, it has been …

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Asia Ex-China: The Outlook For 2014 And Beyond

By John Richardson

IN a special series of blog posts over the next few weeks we will re-examine the outlook for the major Asian petrochemical producing countries, ex-China. The posts won’t necessarily appear every day, as important news events may …

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