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US Govt Policy, Weaker China Indicate Further Oil Price Decline

By John Richardson

OIL markets have reached an important tipping point as the bulls and the bears try to exert decisive influence.

There is resistance from the bulls which helps to explains why, after last week’s collapse in oil prices, …

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China’s OBOR Creates “Win, Win” Demographic Solutions…

…and in the process, it could radically reshape global geopolitics, economic growth patterns and chemicals trade flows

By John Richardson

THE above map, from this excellent FT Beyondbricks blog post by Paul Hodges and Daniël de Blocq van Scheltinga, illustrates …

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Oil Prices Falling Towards $35 On US Supply, China Demand

WTI continues its journey towards a possible $35/bbl by Q4 of this year on rising US shale-oil production and a slight slowdown in the Chinese economy with big implications for global economic growth. And $25/bbl or lower crude in 2018 …

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China’s “Appetite For Pain” Makes $35/bbl Crude More Likely

The Chinese government is showing great determination in its latest battle against excessive and highly speculative lending. This will carry on as a cushion of strong GDP growth has been created, allowing a slowdown that will surprise many people with …

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US Climate Decision: Chemicals Company Winners And Losers

By John Richardson

CHINA is set to introduce a carbon emissions trading scheme later this year for steel and aluminium,, with the chemicals  and polymers sectors set to join at a later date.

Next January, China is also set to …

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How China Stands To Win From US Climate Decision

By John Richardson

How might China benefit from its decision to stick with the COP21 climate-change deal as the US withdraws? Here are some thoughts.

Easier to Escape the Middle Income Trap

China is already leading the global charge on …

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Bricklaying In Australia And Oil Prices: Important Similarities

By John Richardson

THE bricklayer came around to my house three years ago, quickly surveyed the extent of the job, drew a sharp breath, and said, “It’s going to cost you at least Aus$4,000.” And that was after a four-week …

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The World In 2020 – An Update On Our Forecasts In ‘Boom, Gloom and the New Normal’

All of us would love to be able to see into the future. And five years after the publication of ‘Boom, Gloom and the New Normal: How the Ageing of the Western BabyBoomers is Changing Demand Patterns, Again‘, it seems …

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Chemicals Companies Must Be The Solution And Not The Problem

By John Richardson

MORE than 40 years after the launch of the first universal recycling symbol, only 14% of plastic packaging is collected for recycling. When additional value losses in sorting and reprocessing are factored in, only 5% of material …

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Donald Trump And $25 A Barrel Crude Oil

By John Richardson

Our three scenarios for oil prices, in our study, Demand: The New Direction for Profit, includes one scenario where oil prices in today’s money fall to a long-term average of around $25/bbl. Here are all three scenarios.…

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